Chicago @ Boston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the platoon advantage over Shota Imanaga today. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have the upper hand today.

The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Enmanuel Valdez is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP. Enmanuel Valdez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Enmanuel Valdez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Pablo Reyes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Pablo Reyes will hold that advantage today.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this contest predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature of the day at 50°. Kutter Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nico Hoerner in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Pete Crow-Armstrong has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Connor Wong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Connor Wong will hold the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Matt Mervis will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Matt Mervis hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have an edge in today's game. Tyler O'Neill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Kutter Crawford in this game. Ian Happ has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's game.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Mike Tauchman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #2 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Mike Tauchman will have the upper hand today. Mike Tauchman has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in MLB. Bobby Dalbec will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. Bobby Dalbec will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.