Atlanta @ Seattle Picks & Props

Mitch Garver is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Mitch Garver will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Mitch Garver tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Using Statcast metrics, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 93rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .368. Since the start of last season, Marcell Ozuna's 16.5% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today. Matt Olson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Olson's true offensive skill to be a .365, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .052 disparity between that mark and his actual .313 wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Jorge Polanco tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Mitch Haniger ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Haniger is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Mitch Haniger will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried today. Mitch Haniger pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in MLB. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Riley's true offensive talent to be a .358, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .053 deviation between that mark and his actual .305 wOBA. With a .362 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Austin Riley is ranked in the 90th percentile for hitting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in MLB. Julio Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Dylan Moore will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Batters such as Dylan Moore with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Dylan Moore will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in MLB. Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game. Ranked in the 79th percentile, Jarred Kelenic has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game since the start of last season (90.8-mph). Jarred Kelenic grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (53.3% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in MLB. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Ty France will have an advantage today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Ty France will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Luis Urias will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Luis Urias pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Luis Urias will hold that advantage today. In terms of plate discipline, Luis Urias's ability is quite strong, sporting a 2.11 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 76th percentile.

Travis d'Arnaud has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last two weeks, Travis d'Arnaud has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .407. Since the start of last season, Travis d'Arnaud has an average exit velocity of 90.6 mph, which is one of the best in baseball at the 76th percentile. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Travis d'Arnaud and his 17.9% rank in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Michael Harris II is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Harris II will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Miller in today's matchup. Michael Harris II has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Michael Harris II has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .297 mark is a fair amount lower than his .326 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Michael Harris II has recorded a .384 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Orlando Arcia pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-worst field in the majors for RHB BABIP. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to drop to the 6th-lowest level on the schedule today at 48°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ozzie Albies has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 18° angle is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (95th percentile). Ozzie Albies has recorded a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile.