Kansas City @ Toronto Picks & Props

Alec Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Cavan Biggio in today's game. Cavan Biggio hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cavan Biggio grades out in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (23% rate since the start of last season). Cavan Biggio has put up a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .238 figure is quite a bit lower than his .297 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. George Springer is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, George Springer has had bad variance on his side this year. His .293 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .427.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage in today's game. MJ Melendez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .289 figure is a fair amount lower than his .390 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. MJ Melendez's 11.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #21 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Salvador Perez's BABIP skill is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rogers Centre profiles as the #21 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Salvador Perez will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Despite posting a .416 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Salvador Perez has had positive variance on his side given the .095 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #21 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Maikel Garcia will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia's 4.5% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 15th percentile since the start of last season. Maikel Garcia has posted a .292 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 19th percentile.

The #9 park in the league for suppressing base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Bo Bichette will hold the platoon advantage over Alec Marsh in today's matchup.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #21 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Alec Marsh in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is in the 6th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (11.5% rate since the start of last season).

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Alec Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Addison Barger in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage today.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Alec Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daulton Varsho in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Daulton Varsho's 20.3° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 96th percentile.

Nelson Velazquez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Using Statcast metrics, Nelson Velazquez is in the 86th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .346. Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Nelson Velazquez's 95.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Hunter Renfroe has been unlucky this year, posting a .215 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .088 gap. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Hunter Renfroe has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph (an advanced metric to measure power), ranking in the 75th percentile.

Danny Jansen is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Danny Jansen is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Freddy Fermin has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .267 figure is quite a bit lower than his .288 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Freddy Fermin is in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50% rate since the start of last season). A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits, and Freddy Fermin's 26.1° mark (78th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Justin Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage today. Justin Turner has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.9° angle is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (85th percentile).

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage today. Davis Schneider's 96.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season. Posting a .395 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Davis Schneider finds himself in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage today. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .242 figure is considerably lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Michael Massey will have an advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.314) provides evidence that Michael Massey has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .279 actual wOBA. Michael Massey's 19.6° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the game: 93rd percentile.