Kansas City @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.387) may lead us to conclude that MJ Melendez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .276 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Ernie Clement will hold the platoon advantage over Cole Ragans today. Ernie Clement hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Hunter Renfroe's true offensive ability to be a .304, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .078 gap between that figure and his actual .226 wOBA. Hunter Renfroe's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 113.2 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have an edge in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Maikel Garcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.289) provides evidence that Maikel Garcia has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .263 actual batting average.

The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Cavan Biggio hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Cavan Biggio will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Cavan Biggio grades out in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (23% rate since the start of last season). A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play, and Cavan Biggio's 26.5° mark (79th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

Justin Turner's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Justin Turner will have the handedness advantage over Cole Ragans in today's matchup. Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. George Springer will hold the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 10th-worst park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Salvador Perez has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Salvador Perez's true offensive talent to be a .322, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .098 gap between that mark and his actual .420 wOBA. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Salvador Perez is in the 21st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .298.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 10th-worst park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 10th-worst park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Sporting a 3.76 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Bo Bichette has shown weak plate discipline, checking in at the 21st percentile.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Daulton Varsho's 20.3° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league: 96th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Based on Statcast data, Nelson Velazquez grades out in the 86th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .346. Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Nelson Velazquez's 95.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

Michael Massey is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Michael Massey will have an edge in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.314) implies that Michael Massey has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .278 actual wOBA.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.288) suggests that Freddy Fermin has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .272 actual batting average. Freddy Fermin is in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (50% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Freddy Fermin's launch angle since the start of last season (26.1°) is in the 78th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Davis Schneider is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Davis Schneider will have an advantage in today's game.