Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Ahmed hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 10th-strongest among all the teams today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) suggests that Nick Ahmed has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .222 actual batting average.