San Francisco @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Hicks today... and the cherry on top, Hicks has a large platoon split. Bryce Harper will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Bryce Harper has compiled a .423 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 100th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.299) provides evidence that Jorge Soler has experienced some positive variance this year with his .313 actual wOBA. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jorge Soler has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.8 mph (a reliable standard to study power), ranking in the 91st percentile.

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Hicks in today's game... and the cherry on top, Hicks has a large platoon split. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Kyle Schwarber's 96.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 96th percentile since the start of last season. Kyle Schwarber has posted a .344 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. Johan Rojas's footspeed has increased this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.98 ft/sec now.

Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 94th percentile with a 19.7° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 80th percentile with a 16.5° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in MLB. J.T. Realmuto is notably fast, placing in the 89th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.67 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today. Nick Castellanos has been unlucky this year, compiling a .236 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .085 difference. Nick Castellanos ranks in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.3% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Nick Castellanos's launch angle since the start of last season (25.4°) is in the 91st percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Hicks in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Hicks has a large platoon split. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Bryson Stott has recorded a .301 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .278 figure is a fair amount lower than his .315 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Matt Chapman's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 94th percentile at 95.8 mph. Matt Chapman's 18.7° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in Major League Baseball: 91st percentile.

Nick Ahmed grades out in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (46.3% rate since the start of last season).

Thairo Estrada pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.264) suggests that Thairo Estrada has had some very good luck this year with his .278 actual wOBA. Thairo Estrada ranks in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (46% rate since the start of last season).

Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Patrick Bailey is in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Michael Conforto is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge in today's game. Michael Conforto has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .327 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .418 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Michael Conforto's 94.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

When assessing his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 14th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Trea Turner has been hot in recent games, batting his way to a .378 wOBA over the past 14 days. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Trea Turner has had some very good luck this year. His .378 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .366.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Hicks in today's matchup... and even better, Hicks has a large platoon split. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's game. Brandon Marsh's 94.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge in today's game. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s quickness has increased this season. His 26.07 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.55 ft/sec now. In the past week's worth of games, LaMonte Wade Jr. has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .395. Posting a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, LaMonte Wade Jr. grades out in the 84th percentile for hitting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Alec Bohm has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .437. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Alec Bohm is in the 95th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .298.

Tom Murphy has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.