Detroit @ New York Picks & Props

Wenceel Perez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wenceel Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Wenceel Perez has been hot of late, putting up a .418 wOBA over the past two weeks.

Hitting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge today. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Wells has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .302 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .331. Austin Wells has recorded a .266 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an edge in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Zach McKinstry has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .287 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Zach McKinstry ranks in the 88th percentile with a 17.7° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in Major League Baseball. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and Zach McKinstry's 24.7° mark (95th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

Colt Keith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Colt Keith will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Stroman in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Colt Keith's true offensive skill to be a .297, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .117 disparity between that figure and his actual .180 wOBA.

Batting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Anthony Rizzo will have the upper hand in today's game. Anthony Rizzo pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Rizzo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Rizzo is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Reese Olson in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Alex Verdugo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.298) suggests that Giancarlo Stanton has had some very good luck this year with his .325 actual wOBA.

Aaron Judge projects as the 2nd-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Aaron Judge will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Aaron Judge has been unlucky this year, putting up a .327 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .403 — a .076 disparity.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Reese Olson in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Reese Olson in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Oswaldo Cabrera has suffered from bad luck this year. His .290 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .348.

Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.303) implies that Javier Baez has suffered from bad luck this year with his .232 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Extreme flyball hitters like Spencer Torkelson tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Spencer Torkelson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .063 gap. Sporting a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Spencer Torkelson is positioned in the 80th percentile for offensive skills.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Kerry Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Stroman in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Kerry Carpenter's 94.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to evaluate power) is in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Riley Greene has put up a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Gleyber Torres will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Gleyber Torres has been unlucky this year, posting a .254 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .078 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Mark Canha is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Mark Canha has been hot lately, putting up a .397 wOBA over the last week. Placing in the 82nd percentile, Mark Canha sports a .349 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Extreme flyball batters like Jake Rogers are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Since the start of last season, Jake Rogers's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) grades out in the 92nd percentile at 95.5 mph. Jake Rogers is in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (20.2% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Matt Vierling has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Sporting a .274 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Matt Vierling finds himself in the 78th percentile.

Anthony Volpe is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.307) suggests that Anthony Volpe has experienced some positive variance this year with his .335 actual wOBA. The standard deviation of Anthony Volpe's launch angle since the start of last season (25.2°) is in the 93rd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.

Parker Meadows has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.