Boston @ Minnesota Picks & Props
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BOS vs MIN Consensus Picks
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Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the majors. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Edouard Julien is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Brennan Bernardino throws from, Edouard Julien will have an edge in today's game. Edouard Julien will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Edouard Julien has compiled a .364 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 91st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his batting average, Carlos Correa has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .233 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .258.
Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • Boston

Garrett Cooper's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Garrett Cooper has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .249 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Garrett Cooper's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 75th percentile at 94.1 mph.
Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Carlos Santana has shown impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate.
Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand today. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. In terms of his batting average, Ceddanne Rafaela has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .214 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.87 ft/sec this year, Ceddanne Rafaela is notably toolsy.
Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jose Miranda is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Miranda will hold that advantage in today's game.
Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Over the last two weeks, Connor Wong has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .411. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Connor Wong has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph (an advanced metric to measure power), ranking in the 79th percentile.
Vaughn Grissom Total Hits Props • Boston

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Based on Statcast data, Vaughn Grissom is in the 86th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .276. Vaughn Grissom has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key talent for batting average), grading out in the 94th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Willi Castro will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Posting a .339 BABIP since the start of last season, Willi Castro has performed in the 90th percentile.
Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Tyler O'Neill's 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.
Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Christian Vazquez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Christian Vazquez has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .222 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243. Christian Vazquez is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (47.6% rate since the start of last season).
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Ryan Jeffers will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Ryan Jeffers's 11.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.
David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, David Hamilton will have an advantage today. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Dominic Smith will have the upper hand in today's game. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Dominic Smith has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.9° mark is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (85th percentile). When it comes to plate discipline, Dominic Smith's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.98 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 76th percentile.
Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Pablo Lopez in today's game. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Wilyer Abreu's speed has improved this year. His 26.74 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.23 ft/sec now.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Brennan Bernardino in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's game. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Max Kepler ranks in the 85th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.
BOS vs MIN Trends
Boston Trends
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.03 Units / 9% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.53 Units / 24% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 127 games (-27.30 Units / -16% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 127 games (-22.75 Units / -14% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 118 games (-16.30 Units / -12% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 66 away games (-15.81 Units / -19% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 61 away games (-13.60 Units / -18% ROI)
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+12.65 Units / 14% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 61 of their last 137 games (-24.49 Units / -15% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 77 games (-23.93 Units / -27% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 104 games (-23.05 Units / -20% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 47 of their last 108 games (-22.85 Units / -14% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 137 games (-16.32 Units / -10% ROI)
BOS vs MIN Top User Picks
More PicksBoston Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | dispnum1 | 5-5-0 | +16630 |
2 | stakay125 | 7-3-0 | +16380 |
3 | Jackson2399 | 6-4-0 | +15369 |
4 | regger22 | 8-2-0 | +14785 |
5 | Andrew333_ | 7-3-0 | +13995 |
6 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +13785 |
7 | Shitman | 8-2-0 | +13440 |
8 | Coakley | 7-3-0 | +12975 |
9 | Sandsaver727 | 3-7-0 | +12835 |
10 | TheTotalMan | 9-1-0 | +12815 |
All Red Sox Money Leaders |
Minnesota Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
All Twins Money Leaders |