MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 8, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Wed, Jul 8 • 3:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+232)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.. Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Daulton Varsho are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Wed, Jul 8 • 6:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 stadium in the majors for overall lefty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #10 venue in the league for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Taylor Ward hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Taylor Ward will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Wed, Jul 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 field in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (-106)
Projection 2.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 15th-best batter in the game.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best stadium in baseball for RHB home runs.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Junior Caminero will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Wed, Jul 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+222)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 10th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average ability.. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.. Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone o0.5 Total RBIs (+161)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Phillips today.. Dominic Canzone hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Wed, Jul 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+113)
Projection 2.21
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park projects as the #10 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest fences among all major league parks.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Comerica Park projects as the #10 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest fences among all major league parks.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Wed, Jul 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Esmerlyn Valdez logo
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Esmerlyn Valdez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 85°.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Esmerlyn Valdez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jared Triolo logo
Jared Triolo o1.5 Total Bases (+247)
Projection 1.3
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 85°.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage today.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Jul 8 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Keibert Ruiz logo
Keibert Ruiz o1.5 Total Bases (+168)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Spencer Arrighetti.. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+131)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Foster Griffin throws from, Christian Walker will have the upper hand in today's game.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Wed, Jul 8 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will get to bat from his strong side against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Victor Caratini logo
Victor Caratini u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Victor Caratini is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.. The #9 ballpark in MLB for suppressing home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Among all parks, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest.. Target Field has the 5th-highest average fence height among all parks.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Wed, Jul 8 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.. Willson Contreras pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for overall left-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge today.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Wed, Jul 8 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nathan Church logo
Nathan Church o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Busch Stadium has the 9th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bats such as Nathan Church with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kyle Harrison who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Nathan Church will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Christian Yelich logo
Christian Yelich o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Christian Yelich's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Wed, Jul 8 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+232)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Jo Adell will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+177)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Jo Adell will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Wed, Jul 8 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest average fence height in the league.
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+161)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest average fence height in the league.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ San Diego Padres logo SD Wed, Jul 8 • 10:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (-137)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

D-backs starter Jose Cabrera struggled to find the strike zone in his last outing, surrendering three earned runs over 3 1/3 innings against Milwaukee. Arizona will also have a tough time against Michael King, who has held D-backs hitters to a .546 OPS across 62 at-bats. The Padres are playable to -150.

Total Bases
Gavin Sheets logo
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases (+174)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Gavin Sheets will have the handedness advantage against Jose Cabrera today.. Gavin Sheets has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.. Gavin Sheets will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 16 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 26 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 19 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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