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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 23, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.63 |
+154 
|
o8.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -139 
|
|
3.81 |
-180 
|
u8.5 -120 
|
-1.5 +130
|
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.
Detroit
- Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 home games.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Dillon Dingler u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
u0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+105 
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -225
|
|
4.33 |
-120
|
u7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +175
|
Toronto
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. American League East.
- Over is 8-2 in Blue Jays last 10 overall.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Bassitts last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.43 |
-148 
|
o7.5 -113
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
3.21 |
+128
|
u8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 7-2 in Twins last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
-138
|
o7.5 -102
|
-1.5 +128
|
|
4.16 |
+120
|
u7.5 -113
|
+1.5 -144 
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Hendersons last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
Philadelphia
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Nolas last 7 starts a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+207)
o0.5+207
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
+100
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -220
|
|
4.16 |
-113
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
St. Louis
- Over is 7-0 in Liberatores last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Cardinals are 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Liberatores last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.88 |
+135
|
o6.5 -139
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.03 |
-150
|
u7.5 -140
|
-1.5 +156
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Coles last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Coles last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Coles last 4 starts overall.
Top Projection
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.88 |
+114
|
o7.0 -119
|
+1.5 -197
|
|
3.85 |
-130
|
u7.5 -122
|
-1.5 +168
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League East.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Grays last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Grays last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
o0.5+201
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.95 |
+210
|
o7.5 +103
|
+1.5 -103
|
|
4.96 |
-245
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 -105
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Reds last 7 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Reds last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 8-2 in Reds last 10 road games.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Sales last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Sales last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.95 |
-113
|
o8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +148
|
|
5.01 |
-102
|
u8.5 -104
|
+1.5 -170
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 6-0 in Feddes last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 7-0 in Feddes last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Royals last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Lugos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.94 |
+150
|
o6.5 -132
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.77 |
-170
|
u7.0 -113
|
-1.5 +132
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Gustos last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Gustos last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Cubs last 7 overall.
Top Projection
Michael Conforto o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
-105
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
3.88 |
+100
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +155
|
NY Mets
- Under is 3-0-2 in McLeans last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in McLeans last 4 starts vs. American League West.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in McLeans last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Texas
- Over is 6-0-1 in Rangers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o1.5 Total RBIs (+620)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.42 |
-155
|
o10.5 -125
|
-1.5 -102
|
|
5.30 |
+135
|
u11.5 -132
|
+1.5 -110
|
Arizona
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Kellys last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kellys last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Colorado
- Over is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Rockies last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
o0.5+176
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.38 |
-125
|
o9.5 -105
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
4.74 |
+116
|
u9.5 -109
|
+1.5 -140
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-2 in Urenas last 9 starts as a road underdog.
- Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Urenas last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Urenas last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Athletics
- Over is 8-0 in Springs' last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 6-0 in Springs' last 6 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 8-0 in Springs' last 8 home starts.
- Over is 5-0 in Springs' last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.77 |
+185
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
5.08 |
-210 
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +100
|
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 during game 2 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
o0.5+167
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.82 |
+125
|
o7.5 -137
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.43 |
-145
|
u8.5 -132
|
-1.5 +143
|
Houston
- Under is 4-0-2 in Astros last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 games as a favorite.
Seattle
- Over is 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Kirbys last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 overall.
WAS
@
DET
Wed, Sep 23 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Dillon Dingler u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #10 park in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. In the majors, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Hitting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Dillon Dingler will not have the upper hand in today's game.. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Extreme groundball batters like Spencer Torkelson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cade Cavalli.
TOR
@
BAL
Wed, Sep 23 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
George Springer o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)
Pick made: 15 hours ago
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
What's wrong with a little double-dip on Springer tonight? Not only does he have strong numbers against Bassitt (2 HR, .631 xSLG), but six of his 15 homers this year have come off breaking balls - and we all know the veteran righty loves to throw the kitchen sink at hitters. If someone is going yard tonight, Springer is the most likely candidate, and at +850, we can't turn down that price.
Total
o7.5 (+100)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
I'd price this closer to -110, so we're going to take advantage of this value. The Blue Jays see a familiar face on the bump in Chris Bassitt tonight, and while he's been fine over his last two starts, his 4.96 xERA suggests Toronto should be able to get to him. I'm expecting the Blue Jays to manufacture runs, with Bassitt posting a career-high xBA (.279) and career-low K rate (16.4%) this season. On the other side is Max Scherzer, who Baltimore just tagged for six earned runs 11 days ago. No matter how you slice it, tonight looks like we'll see some offensive fireworks.
MIN
@
SF
Wed, Sep 23 • 3:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total RBIs (+564)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This game is expected to have the 4th-most humidity on the schedule today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Cesar Perdomo throws from, Royce Lewis will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total RBIs (+523)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humidity on the schedule today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cesar Perdomo in today's game.
MIL
@
PHI
Wed, Sep 23 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
PHI (+121)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Philadelphia Phillies are trading as a 45% underdog on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to a 49% underdog against the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday. The edge really comes down to the sense of urgency for both teams. The Phillies are locked in a three-way battle for seeding in the NL Wild Card race, while the Brewers are in the driver's seat for the top seed in the NL and have already clinched a bye into the NLDS. I'd expect the Brewers to prioritize pitch-count preservation for Logan Henderson and their high-leverage bullpen arms, while the Phillies will be managing this game with a greater sense of urgency.
Moneyline
MIL (-136)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Milwaukee has won eight of its last 10, and I like the pitching advantage with Logan Henderson. The right-hander owns a 2.51 ERA and 0.81 WHIP and has allowed just eight earned runs over his last five starts. Philadelphia counters with Aaron Nola and a bullpen carrying a 4.34 ERA. With the Brewers owning MLB's best record and getting the better starter and relief corps, -136 is a price I'm willing to lay.
TB
@
NYY
Wed, Sep 23 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Walls o1.5 Total Bases (+330)
Projection 1.09
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Taylor Walls is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.
Total Hits
Heliot Ramos u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yankee Stadium profiles as the #25 venue in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today.
CLE
@
BOS
Wed, Sep 23 • 7:10 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-120)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Sonny Gray has been excellent down the stretch, posting a 2.61 ERA over his last five starts while averaging six innings per outing. Four of those five games finished with seven runs or fewer. Foster Griffin has a 3.06 ERA of his own and held Boston to one run over five innings earlier this season. With two starters capable of working deep, I'm backing Under 7.5.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Nathaniel Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+160)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #3 field in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
CIN
@
ATL
Wed, Sep 23 • 7:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate (83%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his strong side against Andrew Abbott in today's game.
Total RBIs
Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the slate (83%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Austin Riley will have an edge in today's game.
CHW
@
KC
Wed, Sep 23 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as MLB's 2nd-best home run batter.. Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #7 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Munetaka Murakami will have the handedness advantage over Seth Lugo today.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #7 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Bobby Witt Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
MIA
@
CHC
Wed, Sep 23 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest left field dimensions in MLB.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Dansby Swanson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Michael Conforto u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
NYM
@
TEX
Wed, Sep 23 • 8:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the majors.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 114° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Corey Seager will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan McLean today.
Total RBIs
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 114° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage today.
AZ
@
COL
Wed, Sep 23 • 8:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today's game.. Mickey Moniak may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today's game.. Mickey Moniak may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.
LAA
@
ATH
Wed, Sep 23 • 9:40 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Zack Gelof o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Zack Gelof ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best stadium in MLB for RHB home runs.. In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.
SD
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 23 • 10:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
Projection 0.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Teoscar Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Robbie Ray in today's game.
Total RBIs
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+188)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 15th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Dodger Stadium projects as the #2 venue in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
