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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Oct. 2, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.79 |
+132 
|
o6.5 -130 
|
+1.5 -170 
|
|
4.32 |
-150 
|
u7.0 -112
|
-1.5 +150 
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-0 in White Sox last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Top Projection
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
u0.5+140
CHW
@
CLE
Sat, Oct 3 • 1:00 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total Home Runs (+380)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Munetaka Murakami doesn’t hit for average but, against Parker Messick, that’s probably not in the cards for anybody.
What’s important is the power, and Murakami has shown an unmatched level of pop vs. lefties the past couple of months.
Murakami has managed a .434 xwOBA and 23.4% barrel rate facing southpaws since August 1.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-115)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Chase DeLauter posted an impressive .323 average against left-handed pitching during the regular season, and both at-bats against Hagen Smith resulted in hard hit balls. He’ll be a big challenge for Smith early in the ballgame.
He’s likely to see plenty of righties when Smith departs, and that’s just fine. DeLauter finished second on the Guardians in September with a strong .410 xwOBA against right-handed pitching.
NYY
@
TB
Sat, Oct 3 • 6:30 PM ET
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+350)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
SD
@
MIL
Sat, Oct 3 • 8:30 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Chourio launched 15 of his 28 home runs with a .224 ISO at home this season, so I recommend this prop down to the +450 range. Additionally, while his high-end .242 ISO against lefties jumps off the page, Chourio also sports an above-average .176 mark against righties. So, with San Diego potential starter Walker Buehler allowing a 1.56 HR/9 to righties and Robbie Ray at 1.50 HR/9, the Milwaukee star lands in a good matchup regardless of who the Friars send to the hill.
Outs Recorded
Jacob Misiorowski o16.5 Outs Recorded (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Brewers were cautious with their ace down the stretch, and Misiorowski only pitched 13 1/3 innings across three scoreless outings to finish the year, so I recommend this prop to -130. He recorded 18 or more outs in six of his prior seven starts while holding opposing hitters to a minuscule .246 wOBA and .129 ISO, so the added rest positions the frontrunner in the National League Cy Young odds to both pitch well and deep into Game 1.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
