Toronto @ Washington Picks & Props

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. LaVictor Lipscomb will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Alek Manoah) in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's game. Keibert Ruiz grades out in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Joey Meneses has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Joey Meneses will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Joey Meneses has notched a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Because of Alek Manoah's large platoon split, CJ Abrams will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Justin Turner will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Justin Turner has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Bo Bichette will have an advantage in today's game. Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Alejandro Kirk will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore today. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .246 figure is deflated compared to his .275 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the worst ballpark in baseball for righty batting average. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks in the 6th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (11.5% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the worst ballpark in baseball for righty batting average. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for George Springer in today's matchup. With a .264 wOBA in the last 14 days, George Springer has been struggling at the plate. By putting up a .205 batting average this year, George Springer is ranked in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst stadium in the game for LHB batting average. Luis Garcia has been lucky this year, compiling a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .046 deviation. Luis Garcia's 4.4° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the majors: 5th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Given Alek Manoah's large platoon split, Jesse Winker will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage in today's game. Ernie Clement's speed has increased this season. His 28.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.9 ft/sec now. In notching a .328 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ernie Clement grades out in the 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jacob Young is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jacob Young has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Daulton Varsho's 20.3° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 96th percentile.

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Alex Call will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Alex Call has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.48 K/BB rate.

Nick Senzel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Nick Senzel will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Davis Schneider ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Based on Statcast data, Davis Schneider ranks in the 97th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .380.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.251) provides evidence that Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been lucky this year with his .288 actual wOBA.

Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest RF fences in the majors. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Given Alek Manoah's large platoon split, Eddie Rosario will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Eddie Rosario has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .146 mark is a good deal lower than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kevin Kiermaier has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.