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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
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Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 25, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.05 |
+140 
|
o6.5 -114 
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.70 |
-162 
|
u6.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +150 
|
Tampa Bay
Philadelphia
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.29 |
-105
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.17 |
-105
|
u8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -182 
|
Pittsburgh
Detroit
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
-130
|
o7.5 -137
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.73 |
+115
|
u8.5 -124
|
+1.5 -149 
|
NY Mets
Washington
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.50 |
+116
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.01 |
-130 
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +172
|
Cincinnati
Toronto
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
-124
|
o7.5 -141
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.56 |
+106
|
u8.5 -122
|
+1.5 -157
|
Atlanta
Miami
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
-136
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +127
|
|
3.80 |
+120
|
u8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -143
|
Cleveland
Kansas City
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.74 |
+194
|
o7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -114
|
|
5.04 |
-225 
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +100
|
Colorado
Chi. White Sox
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.69 |
+151
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.17 |
-172
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +130
|
St. Louis
Milwaukee
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
-108
|
o7.5 -114
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
3.61 |
-108
|
u7.5 -103
|
+1.5 -182
|
Texas
Minnesota
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+120
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.20 |
-130
|
u7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +172
|
Arizona
San Diego
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.32 |
+115
|
o6.5 -135
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.56 |
-130
|
u7.0 -118
|
-1.5 +180
|
LA Angels
Seattle
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.92 |
-375
|
o7.0 -125
|
-2.5 -115
|
|
2.53 |
+305
|
u7.5 -123
|
+2.5 +110
|
LA Dodgers
San Francisco
CHC
@
BOS
Fri, Sep 25 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1500)
Projection 0.1
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jarren Duran ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage today.. Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's game.
TB
@
PHI
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the league.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Bryce Harper will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
PIT
@
DET
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+155)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
CIN
@
TOR
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Kazuma Okamoto will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo today.. Kazuma Okamoto will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
ATL
@
MIA
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Eury Perez o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-130)
Projection 5.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Eury Perez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.. Eury Perez has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 78th percentile.. Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Eury Perez (40.7% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 3 GB hitters in the opposition's projected batting order.. Eury Perez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats in all categories.
CLE
@
KC
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-137)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I’m backing Cleveland behind Gavin Williams, who enters with a 3.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 244 strikeouts in 181 innings. Kansas City counters with Noah Cameron, but the bigger edge comes once the starters leave. The Royals’ bullpen has been a problem all season, while Cleveland owns a 3.75 team ERA. With the Guardians still fighting for the AL Central, I’ll trust the better pitching staff in a meaningful game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Jac Caglianone ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jac Caglianone is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Jac Caglianone will have the upper hand in today's game.. Jac Caglianone will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
COL
@
CHW
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+275)
Projection 1.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+180)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today.. Mickey Moniak pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
STL
@
MIL
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage over Robert Gasser in today's game... and the cherry on top, Gasser has a large platoon split.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Joey Ortiz u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 24th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.. The weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Michael McGreevy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Ortiz in today's game.. Joey Ortiz has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-deepest RF fences today.
TEX
@
MIN
Fri, Sep 25 • 8:10 PM ET
AZ
@
SD
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (+116)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Arizona Diamondbacks are trading at 46% on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to 50% against the San Diego Padres. You can't have your back against the wall much more than the Diamondbacks do this weekend, as they basically need a sweep to have any hope of making the postseason. That should lead to their roster being managed like they're playing an elimination game, but I also really like the matchup for Brandon Pfaadt. The heart of the Padres' lineup is loaded with right-handed bats, and that's not a problem for Pfaadt, who has held right-handed hitters to a .599 OPS this season. His hard, sweeping slider runs away from the barrels of right-handed hitters, giving him a pitch that can neutralize the strength of San Diego's lineup. That's why the Diamondbacks have my attention at this price.
LAD
@
SF
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Yunior Marte today.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Yunior Marte throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an edge in today's matchup.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Shohei Ohtani can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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