MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 19, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Apr 19 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 10th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park ranks as the #30 stadium in the majors for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-highest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground among all parks — generally bad for homers.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, Apr 19 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Willy Adames logo Willy Adames o0.5 Total Home Runs (+420)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Willy Adames has two homers in his last eight games and will have the upper hand vs. a brutal Nationals pitching staff.

Miles Mikolas has already given up six homers in four outings, while the Nats bullpen has been hammered for 22 dingers - tied for the most in the majors.

Total Hits
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #4 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Batting from the same side that PJ Poulin throws from, Willy Adames faces a tough challenge today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Willy Adames today.. Willy Adames has notched a .224 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. In notching a .268 BABIP since the start of last season, Willy Adames grades out in the 18th percentile.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sun, Apr 19 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
New York Yankees logo NYY -1.5 (+165)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Ryan Weathers doesn’t need to be perfect today — he just needs to be better than Cole Ragans, and that bar isn’t especially high. Ragans walks nearly 15% of the batters he faces, and the Kansas City Royals bullpen has been leaking runs, posting a 6.08 ERA with 1.55 home runs allowed per nine innings. The New York Yankees’ lineup is deep enough to capitalize. Ben Rice and Aaron Judge are barreling the ball at elite rates, while Trent Grisham works counts as well as anyone in the lineup. The moneyline price is solid, but the run line is where the real value lies.

 

Total Hits
Giancarlo Stanton logo
Giancarlo Stanton u0.5 Total Hits (+126)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 4th-worst venue in baseball for righty base hits.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to less offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 2nd-lowest level on the schedule today at 46°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. In today's matchup, Giancarlo Stanton is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.4% rate (85th percentile).
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Apr 19 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Gunnar Henderson logo Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+520)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Gunnar Henderson is already up to seven home runs this season, and he added to that total with another dinger against the Guardians yesterday.

Henderson will be able to take advantage of Cleveland's bullpen, which has given up 13 homers - the fifth most in the majors.

Total Bases
Rhys Hoskins logo
Rhys Hoskins u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fence height (on average) among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day.. Rhys Hoskins's launch angle this year (18.8°) is a considerable dropoff from his 23° figure last year.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.210) implies that Rhys Hoskins has been lucky since the start of last season with his .233 actual batting average.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sun, Apr 19 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gary Sanchez logo
Gary Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Gary Sanchez as the game's 18th-best home run hitter.. Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Gary Sanchez has exhibited some good exit velocity metrics recently, averaging 99.1-mph on his flyballs over the past 14 days.. Posting a 25.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gary Sanchez grades out in the 82nd percentile for power.
Total Bases
Joey Ortiz logo
Joey Ortiz o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.28
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Extreme flyball batters like Joey Ortiz generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Eury Perez.. In terms of his batting average, Joey Ortiz has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .227 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .241.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Apr 19 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the majors, Target Field's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-deepest.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest forecasts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 44°.. Brady Singer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Singer's huge platoon split.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. With a 3.63 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Byron Buxton has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 21st percentile.
Total Hits
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Luke Keaschall has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest forecasts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 44°.. Brady Singer will hold the platoon advantage against Luke Keaschall in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Singer's huge platoon split.. Luke Keaschall hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, Apr 19 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt u1.5 Total Bases (-150)
Projection 0.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The league's 3rd-tallest average fence height can be found at Minute Maid Park.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. JJ Wetherholt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-deepest CF fences today.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for JJ Wetherholt in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for right-handed home runs.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 15° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Jordan Walker has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.2% rate last season to 22.9% this year.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, Apr 19 • 2:20 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
New York Mets logo Chicago Cubs logo u8.5 (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

To say the Mets are struggling to score runs is a massive understatement. New York has put up a total of 18 runs in its 10-game losing streak, getting shut out three times in that span. 

That means it’ll be up to the Cubs to try to carry this total. And as we saw yesterday, these Mets pitchers are doing their part to keep the team in games, even if it hasn’t been enough to get wins.

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

The New York Mets are shaking things up this afternoon by starting Tobias Myers (0-1, 3.46 ERA). Myers has been capable as a starter in the past, but hasn’t thrown more than three innings in a game this season, so New York will need to dip deep into its bullpen this afternoon.

That’s a tough recipe for success against the Chicago Cubs right now. They've averaged 8.5 runs per game over their last six contests, and I don’t see Myers or the rest of the Mets staff shutting them down completely.

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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sun, Apr 19 • 3:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani logo Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+186)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Rockies starter Michael Lorenzen is carrying an 8.10 ERA over five starts while allowing four dingers this season. The Rockies bullpen has also been susceptible to the long ball, allowing 11 homers.

All five of Shohei Ohtani's home runs have come in the last 13 games, and he'll enjoy a homer-friendly ballpark at Coors Field.

Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the league's 19th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, Apr 19 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Derek Hill logo
Derek Hill o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 4th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Among all major league stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This matchup is forecasted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Derek Hill will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Batting from the same side that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Munetaka Murakami encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. Munetaka Murakami hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Munetaka Murakami in today's matchup.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, Apr 19 • 4:07 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

The Mike Trout hot streak continued last night with a double off San Diego Padres starter German Marquez, and he’s now mashed 10 hits across his past eight outings. That stretch includes five homers, with Trout putting the L.A. Angels offense on his shoulders. He’s posted a .500 OBP and a 1.115 OPS in day games so far this season, and I like this price for 2+ bases here.

San Diego’s Michael King is in the firing line today at Angel Stadium and, despite his solid start to the year, he gave up a hit to Trout in their lone head-to-head career battle.

Total
San Diego Padres logo Los Angeles Angels logo u8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Michael King has won back-to-back starts, pitching six innings in each, allowing a total of eight hits and just three earned runs. Reid Detmers starts opposite King, and he’s coming off his best performance of the year, holding the Yankees to just four hits and one earned run in seven innings, while striking out nine.

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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sun, Apr 19 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Joc Pederson logo
Joc Pederson o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Joc Pederson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. This contest is expected to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.. Joc Pederson pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 8th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. This contest is expected to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Corey Seager will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sun, Apr 19 • 4:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Ryne Nelson has been hit hard this season, ranking in the 10th percentile in hard-hit rate. This has resulted in four home runs allowed this year, all against his four-seamer. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. crushes the baseball and has a .417 average against the four-seamer, with a .500 slug rate against the pitch.

 

Strikeouts Thrown
Kevin Gausman logo Kevin Gausman o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

When Kevin Gausman’s splitter is dancing, he’s one of the most lethal pitchers in the majors, which makes his 5.5-strikeout total at plus-money an attractive price.

The Toronto Blue Jays ace has been racking up the Ks, averaging 7.75 strikeouts this season, which ranks in the 94th percentile in K%, while using the splitter as the put-away pitch, garnering a 44.2% whiff rate and a strikeout rate of 42.9%

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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Apr 19 • 4:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-coldest weather of all games today at 46°.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson u1.5 Total Bases (-270)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-coldest weather of all games today at 46°.. Among every team today, the best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.
View 10 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sun, Apr 19 • 7:20 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Philadelphia Phillies logo u8.5 (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
Shawn Krest image
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Grant Holmes has leaned harder on his slider and four-seamer this season, throwing those two pitchers 80% of the time. Opponents are hitting .121 against those two pitches. Painter has yet to allow a home run in three MLB appearances. He’s striking out a quarter of all batters he’s faced, and his hard-hit percentage is in the 92nd percentile among pitchers. He’s even better in Philadelphia with a 1.74 ERA, 0.871 WHIP, and 13.1 strikeouts per 9 in home games. 

 

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (+104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
Shawn Krest image
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

The Atlanta Braves are on the verge of sweeping the Phillies and have the pitching edge to do so. Holmes has been solid through two starts, and the Phillies' offense is struggling and will likely be without one of their better hitters in J.T. Realmuto. 

View 16 Picks

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