New York @ St. Louis Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Francisco Lindor has recorded a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor has an average exit velocity of 91.1 mph, which is one of the best in the league at the 81st percentile.

Starling Marte's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Starling Marte has had some very poor luck this year. His .315 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .421. Starling Marte has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key skill for batting average), placing in the 80th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Dylan Carlson ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Carlson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Sean Manaea. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Nolan Arenado will have the upper hand in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today. Brett Baty has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .225 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Grading out in the 80th percentile, the hardest ball Brett Baty has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Jeff McNeil has shown impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile with a 1.59 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Masyn Winn will have an edge today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game. Masyn Winn has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .300 rate is inflated compared to his .269 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Brendan Donovan may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Brendan Donovan will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, Brandon Nimmo is in the 89th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .358.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jose Fermin is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Jose Fermin will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Pete Alonso is in the 76th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .343. Pete Alonso's 14.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

D.J. Stewart is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, D.J. Stewart will have an edge in today's game. D.J. Stewart's 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season. D.J. Stewart's 96.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. J.D. Martinez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Utilizing Statcast metrics, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .270. Since the start of last season, J.D. Martinez's 17.1% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Tomas Nido hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tomas Nido has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .160 rate is a good deal lower than his .188 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Ivan Herrera will have an edge in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 15th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Ivan Herrera will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ivan Herrera's speed has improved this year. His 26.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.51 ft/sec now.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Willson Contreras will have an edge in today's matchup. Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Joey Wendle will have the upper hand today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) suggests that Joey Wendle has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .212 actual batting average.

Alec Burleson has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.