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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 13, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.41 |
+130 
|
o8.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -159 
|
|
5.11 |
-150 
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +146 
|
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rockies last 8 overall.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-2 in Tigers last 9 vs. National League West.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Jackson Jobe o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
o3.5-170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.92 |
+110 
|
o8.5 -124
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
5.41 |
-125
|
u9.0 -114 
|
-1.5 +165
|
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 8-1 in Painters last 9 starts on grass.
- Over is 7-1 in Painters last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Painters last 9 starts overall.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 13-1-1 in Holmes' last 15 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in Holmes' last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+182
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
+158
|
o7.5 -109
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
5.49 |
-175
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +125
|
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Scotts last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Mets are 5-0 in Scotts last 5 starts as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.67 |
+105
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.13 |
-118
|
u9.5 -130
|
-1.5 +165
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 vs. American League West.
- Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.02 |
+135
|
o7.5 +102
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.24 |
-145 
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +155
|
Baltimore
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Rogers' last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-0 in Rogers' last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Ceases last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
o0.5+167
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+120
|
o7.5 -117
|
+1.5 -178
|
|
4.43 |
-132
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
Houston
- Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Astros last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Astros are 5-0 in Wesneskis last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Peraltas last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+128)
o0.5+135
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
-143
|
o8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
3.92 |
+130
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -135
|
LA Dodgers
- Over is 7-0 in Wrobleskis last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Wrobleskis last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Marlins last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Top Projection
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
o1.5+145
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games following a win.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+170
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.14 |
-198
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +118
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in Reds last 9 vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.06 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 7-2-1 in White Sox last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in McGreevys last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in McGreevys last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0-1 in McGreevys last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.68 |
+125
|
o6.5 -109
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.12 |
-140
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +165
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Chandlers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Boyds last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Boyds last 9 home starts.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+233
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.90 |
+158
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.68 |
-180
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +128
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 on grass.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Camerons last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Tolles last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games following a win.
Top Projection
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
o1.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.48 |
-140
|
o9.5 -118
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
5.49 |
+125
|
u10.0 -114
|
+1.5 -130
|
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-1 in Millers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Athletics
- are 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Lopezs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
o0.5+132
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
+120
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.85 |
-140
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +164
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Rangers last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rangers last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 7-0 in Rodriguezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.07 |
-130
|
o6.5 -129
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.62 |
+115
|
u7.0 -110
|
+1.5 -160
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 overall.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0 in Webbs last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
o1.5+113
COL
@
DET
Sun, Sep 13 • 12:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Gabriel Hughes throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Riley Greene will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Strikeouts Thrown
Jackson Jobe o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
Projection 4.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Colorado Rockies have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Hunter Goodman, Mickey Moniak, Connor Norby, Zac Veen).. Projected catcher Dillon Dingler profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jackson Jobe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats across the board.. Jackson Jobe's fastball velocity has spiked 1.3 mph this season (97.1 mph) over where it was last season (95.8 mph).. Out of all starters, Jackson Jobe's fastball spin rate of 2420 rpm grades out in the 83rd percentile this year.
PHI
@
ATL
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Austin Riley will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the game.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Ronald Acuna Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
NYM
@
NYY
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate (82%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Luis Garcia Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate (82%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Luis Garcia Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott today.. Luis Garcia Jr. may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.
LAA
@
WAS
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:35 PM ET
Moneyline
LAA (+103)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Grayson Rodriguez brings significant bat-missing upside against a depleted Washington lineup scuffling with an 80 wRC+ over the past two weeks. Washington's bullpen has completely imploded (7.97 ERA, 4.54 SIERA, 11.9% BB%), leaving Jake Irvin with zero margin for error in an even-money pick'em spot.
Total Bases
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°.. Hitting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
BAL
@
TOR
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:37 PM ET
Total RBIs
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
HOU
@
TB
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LAD
@
MIA
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Max Muncy u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -5° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.. Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Typically, bats like Max Muncy who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Eury Perez.. Max Muncy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+216)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's game.
PIT
@
CHC
Sun, Sep 13 • 2:20 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Matthew Boyd o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
Projection 5.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matthew Boyd has averaged 92.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 78th percentile.. The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Rafael Flores, Konnor Griffin, Oneil Cruz).. It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Wills) behind the plate in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Bubba Chandler today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Pittsburgh's 2nd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Pete Crow-Armstrong, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
KC
@
BOS
Sun, Sep 13 • 3:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity of all games on the slate today (93%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Jarren Duran has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Jarren Duran will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Jahmai Jones o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jahmai Jones ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jahmai Jones is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity of all games on the slate today (93%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Jahmai Jones will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Jahmai Jones pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
SEA
@
ATH
Sun, Sep 13 • 4:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jeff McNeil o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 23.3-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Donovan Walton o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Donovan Walton has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 23.3-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Donovan Walton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
SD
@
SF
Sun, Sep 13 • 7:20 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Projection 1.99
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
