Baltimore @ Washington Picks & Props

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II's 21.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in baseball: 99th percentile.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Jorge Mateo will have an advantage today. Jorge Mateo has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .274 mark is a fair amount lower than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Looking at the top 5% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls by exit velocity, their 109.2 mph average places him among the league's elite, ranking in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Luis Garcia is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Nick Senzel is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Nick Senzel will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Joey Meneses has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Mitchell Parker.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Ryan Mountcastle will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game.

Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Eddie Rosario will have an edge in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Batting from the same side that Mitchell Parker throws from, Gunnar Henderson meets a tough challenge today. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst park in the league for right-handed batting average. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Anthony Santander in today's matchup. The standard deviation of Anthony Santander's launch angle since the start of last season (29.6°) is in the 17th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower rate of hits on balls in play.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst park in the league for right-handed batting average. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jordan Westburg in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Westburg's true offensive skill to be a .318, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .042 disparity between that mark and his actual .360 wOBA.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Kyle Bradish. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and LaVictor Lipscomb will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Colton Cowser is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Colton Cowser is assured to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jacob Young has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Jacob Young has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, James McCann will have an advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) provides evidence that James McCann has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .221 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball James McCann has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.1 mph (a reliable metric to evaluate power), grading out in the 79th percentile.

Ryan McKenna's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Ryan McKenna will have an edge today. Since the start of last season, Ryan McKenna has an average exit velocity of 91 mph, which ranks among the best in the majors at the 84th percentile. Ranking in the 86th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.75 ft/sec since the start of last season, Ryan McKenna is very fast.