Milwaukee @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Because of Joe Ross's large platoon split, Bobby Witt Jr. will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game. In today's matchup, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.3% rate (90th percentile). Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, putting up a .390 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .357 — a .033 gap.

Brady Singer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against William Contreras today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Typically, bats like William Contreras who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brady Singer. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. William Contreras's quickness has decreased this year. His 26.48 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 21st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Joe Ross will hold the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Ross's large platoon split. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers. Despite posting a .398 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Salvador Perez has been lucky given the .079 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

Brice Turang has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year. Brice Turang has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brice Turang in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang's true offensive skill to be a .295, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .045 deviation between that mark and his actual .340 wOBA. Brice Turang has recorded a .276 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 9th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Joe Ross will have the handedness advantage over Maikel Garcia today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Ross's large platoon split. Maikel Garcia has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's deepest RF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers. Maikel Garcia's 4.5% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.

Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Christian Yelich generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Brady Singer. Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Jake Bauers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split. Extreme flyball hitters like Jake Bauers are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brady Singer.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #3 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Nelson Velazquez will hold that advantage today. Using Statcast data, Nelson Velazquez is in the 86th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .346. Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) grades out in the 99th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split. Sal Frelick's speed has gotten better this year. His 28.51 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.02 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #3 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Ranking in the 88th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.68 ft/sec this year, Jackson Chourio is remarkably toolsy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ross in today's matchup... and even better, Ross has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Vinnie Pasquantino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ross in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Ross has a large platoon split.

Hunter Renfroe has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #3 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hunter Renfroe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Hunter Renfroe's true offensive skill to be a .304, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .082 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .222 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #3 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Rhys Hoskins tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brady Singer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #3 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Willy Adames's 12.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) is in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ross today... and moreover, Ross has a large platoon split. Adam Frazier will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #3 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Freddy Fermin will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Freddy Fermin has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .268 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .288. Freddy Fermin grades out in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50% rate since the start of last season).

Tyler Black is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Tyler Black will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and the cherry on top, Singer has a large platoon split.

Michael Massey is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Considering Joe Ross's large platoon split, Michael Massey will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Oliver Dunn will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Oliver Dunn is very toolsy, grading out in the 93rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.04 ft/sec this year.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #3 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, MJ Melendez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the game for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage over Joe Ross in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Ross has a large platoon split. MJ Melendez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.