Bally Sports Network, SNY, MLBN

New York @ St. Louis props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis

V. Scott II
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Victor Scott hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Victor Scott will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 100th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.37 ft/sec this year, Victor Scott is notably fast.

Victor Scott II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Victor Scott hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Victor Scott will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 100th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.37 ft/sec this year, Victor Scott is notably fast.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.2-mph over the course of the season to 90.9-mph lately.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.2-mph over the course of the season to 90.9-mph lately.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Martinez
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. With a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, J.D. Martinez grades out in the 78th percentile for offensive skills.

J.D. Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. With a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, J.D. Martinez grades out in the 78th percentile for offensive skills.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

Tyrone Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His .292 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .327.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Tyrone Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His .292 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .327.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Last season, Francisco Lindor had an average launch angle of 13.4° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 19°.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Last season, Francisco Lindor had an average launch angle of 13.4° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 19°.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

D. Carlson
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Carlson in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jose Quintana. Dylan Carlson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Carlson has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .284 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.

Dylan Carlson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Carlson in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jose Quintana. Dylan Carlson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Carlson has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .284 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Pete Alonso has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past week.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Pete Alonso has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past week.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 16.9% this year. Mark Vientos has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 16.9% seasonal rate to 24% in the last two weeks.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 16.9% this year. Mark Vientos has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 16.9% seasonal rate to 24% in the last two weeks.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today. In terms of his batting average, Brett Baty has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .223 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260. Brett Baty's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 113.7 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today. In terms of his batting average, Brett Baty has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .223 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260. Brett Baty's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 113.7 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets

H. Bader
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 44.2% on the season to 71.4% over the last week. Grading out in the 77th percentile, Harrison Bader sports a .321 BABIP this year.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 44.2% on the season to 71.4% over the last week. Grading out in the 77th percentile, Harrison Bader sports a .321 BABIP this year.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 15th-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage today.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 15th-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage today.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

Brendan Donovan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) implies that Brendan Donovan has been unlucky this year with his .317 actual wOBA. Sporting a 1.87 K/BB rate this year, Brendan Donovan has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Brendan Donovan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) implies that Brendan Donovan has been unlucky this year with his .317 actual wOBA. Sporting a 1.87 K/BB rate this year, Brendan Donovan has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Sporting a .334 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Francisco Alvarez is positioned in the 81st percentile. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Francisco Alvarez sports a .338 BABIP this year.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Sporting a .334 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Francisco Alvarez is positioned in the 81st percentile. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Francisco Alvarez sports a .338 BABIP this year.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

Starling Marte's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.423) provides evidence that Starling Marte has had bad variance on his side this year with his .308 actual wOBA. Starling Marte has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), checking in at the 80th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Starling Marte's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.423) provides evidence that Starling Marte has had bad variance on his side this year with his .308 actual wOBA. Starling Marte has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), checking in at the 80th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Burleson
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage today. In the last week's worth of games, Alec Burleson's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

Alec Burleson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage today. In the last week's worth of games, Alec Burleson's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul Goldschmidt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul Goldschmidt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jose Fermin Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Fermin
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Jose Fermin is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jose Fermin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today. Jose Fermin will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Jose Fermin has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .292 mark is deflated compared to his .335 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jose Fermin is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jose Fermin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today. Jose Fermin will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Jose Fermin has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .292 mark is deflated compared to his .335 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Winker
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesse Winker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. Jesse Winker has posted a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.

Jesse Winker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesse Winker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. Jesse Winker has posted a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.

Pedro Pages Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Pages
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Pedro Pages will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Pedro Pages hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Pedro Pages has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph average.

Pedro Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Pedro Pages will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Pedro Pages hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Pedro Pages has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph average.

Ivan Herrera Total Hits Props • St. Louis

I. Herrera
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Ivan Herrera has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Ivan Herrera will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game. Ivan Herrera has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 26.72 ft/sec to 27.55 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Ivan Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ivan Herrera has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Ivan Herrera will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game. Ivan Herrera has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 26.72 ft/sec to 27.55 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Iglesias
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Jose Iglesias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Pham
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Tommy Pham will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Tommy Pham will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Omar Narváez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

O. Narváez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Omar Narvaez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.305) provides evidence that Omar Narvaez has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .247 actual wOBA. Omar Narvaez ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (27.9% rate since the start of last season).

Omar Narváez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Omar Narvaez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.305) provides evidence that Omar Narvaez has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .247 actual wOBA. Omar Narvaez ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (27.9% rate since the start of last season).

Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Wendle
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-156
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-156
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Joey Wendle will have the upper hand in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Joey Wendle has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .216 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

Joey Wendle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Joey Wendle will have the upper hand in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Joey Wendle has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .216 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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