Arizona @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Considering Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, Cedric Mullins II will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins II will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 99th percentile with a 21.7° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in baseball.

The #10 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Batting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Kevin Newman will have an edge in today's matchup. Kevin Newman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Kevin Newman has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .282 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Colton Cowser is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Because of Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, Colton Cowser will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has been hot of late, cruising to a .380 wOBA over the last 14 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Despite posting a .264 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corbin Carroll has suffered from bad luck given the .075 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .339.

Gabriel Moreno's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #10 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the schedule today at 54°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Mountcastle in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Pfaadt's large platoon split.

In the league, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's left field dimensions are the deepest. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the schedule today at 54°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Checking in at the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences in MLB. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today... and the cherry on top, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.

The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the schedule today at 54°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte today. Ketel Marte's footspeed has declined this year. His 27.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.83 ft/sec now.

The #10 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) may lead us to conclude that Jorge Mateo has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .221 actual batting average. Jorge Mateo has really hit the cover off the baseball. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) put him among MLB's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season. Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.69 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is remarkably toolsy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The #10 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Eugenio Suarez will hold the platoon advantage over Cole Irvin in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Baltimore's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Eugenio Suarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences in MLB. Adley Rutschman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #10 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Jordan Westburg will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. By putting up a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jordan Westburg finds himself in the 86th percentile for hitting ability. Jordan Westburg's 90.2-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the majors since the start of last season: 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #10 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Christian Walker will have the handedness advantage against Cole Irvin today. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Given Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, Ryan O'Hearn will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Randal Grichuk has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Batting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Randal Grichuk will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today. Ranked in the 76th percentile, Anthony Santander has one of the highest average exit velocities in MLB since the start of last season (90.6-mph).

Ramon Urias has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Ramon Urias tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt. Ramon Urias will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Checking in at the 86th percentile, Ramon Urias has notched a .330 BABIP since the start of last season.