Los Angeles @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow today. Jake Cronenworth will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, James Outman will have an edge in today's matchup. James Outman has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .251 mark is a good deal lower than his .261 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. James Outman and his 17° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season. James Outman has recorded a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Fernando Tatis Jr. has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .335 rate is a fair amount lower than his .358 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Gavin Lux will have the upper hand today. Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Gavin Lux has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .231 mark is considerably lower than his .291 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill. Luis Arraez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Luis Arraez will have the upper hand today. Luis Arraez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Ha-seong Kim will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has suffered from bad luck this year. His .211 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .258. With a 1.38 K/BB rate this year, Ha-seong Kim has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 91st percentile.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. Over the last 7 days, Andy Pages has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .357. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.41 ft/sec this year, Andy Pages is quite fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today. Manny Machado has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .299 figure is deflated compared to his .313 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .265 mark is a fair amount higher than his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Teoscar Hernandez's 13.8% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 90th percentile since the start of last season. Teoscar Hernandez's 95-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 88th percentile since the start of last season. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Teoscar Hernandez and his 47.7% since the start of last season rank in the 89th percentile by this measure.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King today. Max Muncy's 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. Max Muncy's 95.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge today. Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.4% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jackson Merrill has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .303 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .402 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .251 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xander Bogaerts has suffered from bad luck given the .075 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

Mookie Betts projects as the 7th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mookie Betts's 12.8% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season. Ranked in the 95th percentile, Mookie Betts has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game since the start of last season (92.4-mph).

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jurickson Profar's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.43 ft/sec now. Sporting a .391 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jurickson Profar finds himself in the 93rd percentile. When it comes to plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's skill is quite good, posting a 1.19 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-worst park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. This year, there has been a decline in Freddie Freeman's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.69 ft/sec last year to 26.15 ft/sec currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Luis Campusano is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Luis Campusano's launch angle since the start of last season (25.7°) is in the 82nd percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.

Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.