Washington @ Boston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. LaVictor Lipscomb has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for left-handed batting average. The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Considering Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Jesse Winker will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for left-handed batting average. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today. Dominic Smith is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Dominic Smith has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Dominic Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for left-handed batting average. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Cooper Criswell... and even better, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .193 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky given the .109 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302. Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Jacob Young's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Young is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Jacob Young has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Posting a .285 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jacob Young is positioned in the 90th percentile.

Vaughn Grissom's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vaughn Grissom is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Among all parks, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Vaughn Grissom will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Among all parks, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Ceddanne Rafaela is quite athletic, ranking in the 91st percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.86 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for left-handed batting average. David Hamilton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Hamilton stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. David Hamilton has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. In notching a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Victor Robles has performed in the 81st percentile.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this game forecasts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 52°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for CJ Abrams in today's game. Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes CJ Abrams has experienced some positive variance given the .047 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this game forecasts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 52°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. This season, there has been a decline in Jarren Duran's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.5 ft/sec last year to 28.96 ft/sec currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for left-handed batting average. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cooper Criswell today... and even more favorably, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Eddie Rosario hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .226 figure is a good deal lower than his .340 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Eddie Rosario and his 18.6° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 96th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this game forecasts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 52°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Garcia in today's game. Luis Garcia has been lucky this year, compiling a .371 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .062 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Garrett Cooper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Garrett Cooper has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .247 figure is considerably lower than his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Senzel has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Among all parks, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best batter in the majors. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for left-handed batting average. The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for left-handed batting average. The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Reese McGuire will have the upper hand today. Reese McGuire may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's game.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for left-handed batting average. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game. Wilyer Abreu is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Wilyer Abreu has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Joey Meneses has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Joey Meneses has been unlucky this year, posting a .245 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .055 deviation.