Philadelphia @ Miami Picks & Props
PHI vs MIA Picks
MLB PicksCheck out all baseball picks and predictions
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
PHI vs MIA Consensus Picks
More Consensus
81% picking Philadelphia
Total PicksPHI 448, MIA 107
69% picking Philadelphia vs Miami to go Over
Total PicksPHI 221, MIA 98
PHI vs MIA Props
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. In notching a .423 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Bryce Harper is positioned in the 100th percentile for offensive ability.
Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Johan Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Nick Fortes has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .235 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .259.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today's game.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an edge in today's matchup.
Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.62 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is very athletic.
Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Tim Anderson is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Tim Anderson will hold that advantage in today's game. Tim Anderson has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .236 BA is a fair amount lower than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.
Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. In today's game, Whit Merrifield is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.5% rate (91st percentile). Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Whit Merrifield in today's game. Utilizing Statcast data, Whit Merrifield ranks in the 22nd percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .299. Since the start of last season, Whit Merrifield's 2.4% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 4th percentile among his peers.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Jake Burger will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today's game.
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. As it relates to his batting average, Bryson Stott has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .276 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .301. Checking in at the 87th percentile, Bryson Stott has put up a .278 batting average since the start of last season.
J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

When assessing his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.
Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Nick Gordon will have an edge today. Nick Gordon hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Gordon will hold that advantage today.
Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Alec Bohm will have the upper hand today.
Vidal Brujan Total Hits Props • Miami

The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Taijuan Walker. Vidal Brujan will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Cristian Pache Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for righty base hits. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Cristian Pache will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Cristian Pache's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 76th percentile at 93.9 mph.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams playing today. Kyle Schwarber's 16.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) is in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.
Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
PHI vs MIA Trends
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 115 games (+10.30 Units / 6% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 54 away games (-14.96 Units / -24% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-14.10 Units / -14% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 74 games (-14.05 Units / -16% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 54 games at home (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games at home (+2.99 Units / 4% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 82 games (-27.70 Units / -25% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 58 games at home (-11.92 Units / -18% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 33 games at home (-8.31 Units / -21% ROI)
PHI vs MIA Top User Picks
More PicksPhiladelphia Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
All Phillies Money Leaders |
Miami Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
All Marlins Money Leaders |