Washington @ Boston props

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Posting a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Victor Robles has performed in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for left-handed batting average. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Based on Statcast metrics, Ildemaro Vargas grades out in the 75th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .268. Ildemaro Vargas has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 98th percentile with a 1 K/BB rate.

Nick Senzel is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for left-handed batting average. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Tyler O'Neill will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Connor Wong will have an advantage today.

Joey Meneses's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Joey Meneses has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the league. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for left-handed batting average. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jesse Winker ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for left-handed batting average. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Jesse Winker will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game forecasts the 2nd-lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for CJ Abrams in today's matchup. CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, compiling a .357 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .049 difference. Ranked in the 18th percentile, CJ Abrams's average exit velocity of 87.3 mph ranks among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game forecasts the 2nd-lowest temperature of the day at 57°. Extreme groundball batters like Luis Garcia are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Luis Garcia has been lucky this year, posting a .359 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .051 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for left-handed batting average. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Brayan Bello... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky this year, notching a .186 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .115 discrepancy.

Vaughn Grissom's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Vaughn Grissom will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Vaughn Grissom will hold that advantage today.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). LaVictor Lipscomb has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Garrett Cooper will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Garrett Cooper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Garrett Cooper will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for left-handed batting average. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split. Eddie Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.345) implies that Eddie Rosario has experienced some negative variance this year with his .246 actual wOBA.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have the upper hand today. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Romy Gonzalez is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Romy Gonzalez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Riley Adams has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Riley Adams can really hit the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.8 mph) rank him among baseball's best: in the 87th percentile since the start of last season. Riley Adams is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.2% rate since the start of last season).