New York @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Gleyber Torres will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Alexander in today's game. Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gleyber Torres has suffered from bad luck given the .078 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Jon Berti will have an advantage in today's game. Jon Berti has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (46.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Batters such as Jon Berti with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tyler Alexander who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 12th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Yandy Diaz with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Luis Gil who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ben Rortvedt has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile with a 1.63 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Amed Rosario is projected as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball bats like Amed Rosario tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Gil. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today's game.

Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Richie Palacios is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Gil today. Richie Palacios pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. By putting up a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Alex Verdugo grades out in the 75th percentile.

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team on the slate today. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Jose Siri has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .239 mark is a good deal higher than his .228 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team on the slate today. Jose Caballero will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Jose Caballero's 20.9° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in baseball: 93rd percentile.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Harold Ramirez is projected as the 16th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Harold Ramirez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Harold Ramirez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Harold Ramirez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Gil.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (44.4% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team on the slate today. New York's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Isaac Paredes, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Jahmai Jones will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Alexander in today's game. Jahmai Jones's 20% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Ranked in the 100th percentile, Jahmai Jones has one of the highest average exit velocities in the majors since the start of last season (98.7-mph).

Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Jose Trevino will have an advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) provides evidence that Jose Trevino has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .232 actual batting average.

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) provides evidence that Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year with his .302 actual wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the league. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Juan Soto may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Juan Soto grades out in the 96th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .384.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Anthony Volpe ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Anthony Volpe will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Alexander in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the game. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Aaron Judge will have the upper hand today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) may lead us to conclude that Aaron Judge has experienced some positive variance this year with his .236 actual batting average.

Anthony Rizzo is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Anthony Rizzo has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Anthony Rizzo pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Rizzo grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season).

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.