Minnesota @ Toronto Picks & Props

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Christian Vazquez has been unlucky this year, notching a .193 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .265 — a .072 deviation. Christian Vazquez grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.6% rate since the start of last season).

Alex Kirilloff's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Because of Alek Manoah's huge platoon split, Alex Kirilloff will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Alex Kirilloff has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .256 figure is deflated compared to his .286 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In notching a .351 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Alex Kirilloff is positioned in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Davis Schneider is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Davis Schneider will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Considering Alek Manoah's huge platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Since the start of last season, Trevor Larnach's 13.3% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 89th percentile among his peers.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Max Kepler ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Alek Manoah in today's game... and the cherry on top, Manoah has a huge platoon split. Max Kepler has posted a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Austin Martin is very toolsy, grading out in the 76th percentile in Sprint Speed at 27.95 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Ernie Clement hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ernie Clement has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 28.36 ft/sec to 28.88 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Extreme flyball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. In the past two weeks, Carlos Correa has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .361. In terms of his batting average, Carlos Correa has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .237 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's game. Alejandro Kirk's footspeed has improved this year. His 23.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.39 ft/sec now.

Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Daniel Vogelbach will have an advantage in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Daniel Vogelbach will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Rogers Centre ranks as the #23 park in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup forecasts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 59°. Bailey Ober will have the handedness advantage over Bo Bichette today. In notching a .243 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Bo Bichette has performed in the 13th percentile.

The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Cavan Biggio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team in action today. Cavan Biggio will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 7th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent. Edouard Julien is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Edouard Julien will have the handedness advantage over Alek Manoah in today's matchup... and even better, Manoah has a huge platoon split. Edouard Julien has recorded a .364 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Willi Castro is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. Sporting a .333 BABIP since the start of last season, Willi Castro grades out in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Justin Turner is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Justin Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Ryan Jeffers's 11.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

Carlos Santana hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. With a 1.74 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Carlos Santana has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Manuel Margot has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.