Tampa Bay @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Caballero's 20.9° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the game: 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Vaughn Grissom has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Richie Palacios will have an advantage in today's matchup. Richie Palacios pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. The 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Civale in today's matchup.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. The 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 9th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Nick Pivetta will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Amed Rosario in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Amed Rosario in today's matchup. Amed Rosario and his 5.4° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 6th percentile, among the lowest in the game since the start of last season. When it comes to plate discipline, Amed Rosario's skill is quite weak, sporting a 3.71 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 21st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Romy Gonzalez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Romy Gonzalez will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Romy Gonzalez's 13.8% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 90th percentile among his peers.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. The 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Ramirez as the 16th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his batting average ability. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Harold Ramirez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. By putting up a .281 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Harold Ramirez has performed in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Dominic Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale today. Dominic Smith is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Jose Siri has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .239 figure is a fair amount higher than his .229 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Ben Rortvedt will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta today. Ben Rortvedt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Posting a 1.63 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Ben Rortvedt has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 88th percentile.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Garrett Cooper has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jonathan Aranda has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.