New York @ Minnesota Picks & Props
NYY vs MIN Picks
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NYY vs MIN Consensus Picks
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Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Christian Vazquez will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage in today's game. Christian Vazquez has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .215 BA is deflated compared to his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jose Miranda is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Jose Miranda will have the upper hand today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Austin Martin Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Austin Martin is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game. This year, Austin Martin has been pinch hit for in 32% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound. Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 38%. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Austin Martin pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences today.
Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
Among all parks, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest. Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 38%. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Hitting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Anthony Volpe will have a tough matchup in today's game. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Anthony Volpe today.
Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Kyle Farmer will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Kyle Farmer will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .229 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Farmer has experienced some negative variance given the .063 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.
Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 38%. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 10th-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Juan Soto in today's matchup. Juan Soto's 6.6° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the majors: 11th percentile.
Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today's game. Posting a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Alex Verdugo finds himself in the 75th percentile.
Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Aaron Judge has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .228 mark is a good deal lower than his .234 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Aaron Judge's 26.9% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 100th percentile since the start of last season.
Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Carlos Rodon in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Carlos Santana will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Carlos Santana has shown impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.
Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his good side against Chris Paddack in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.341) suggests that Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year with his .297 actual wOBA.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Carlos Rodon in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Willi Castro will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gleyber Torres has had some very poor luck given the .078 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330. Gleyber Torres has posted a .288 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Gleyber Torres ranks in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18% rate since the start of last season).
Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Carlos Correa will have the upper hand today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. In terms of his batting average, Giancarlo Stanton has experienced some positive variance this year. His .230 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .219. Since the start of last season, Giancarlo Stanton's 15.8% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 95th percentile among his peers.
Austin Wells Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Austin Wells has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .215 actual batting average. Posting a 1.6 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Austin Wells has displayed impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 90th percentile.
Anthony Rizzo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today's matchup. Anthony Rizzo grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Anthony Rizzo's launch angle since the start of last season (24.9°) is in the 94th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.
Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Manuel Margot is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Manuel Margot will have an advantage in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
NYY vs MIN Trends
New York Trends
The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)
The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 77% ROI)
The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.99 Units / 24% ROI)
The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 58% ROI)
The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.20 Units / 46% ROI)
The New York Yankees have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 19 games (-8.10 Units / -33% ROI)
The New York Yankees have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 41 games (-6.05 Units / -13% ROI)
The New York Yankees have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 away games (-2.45 Units / -15% ROI)
The New York Yankees have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.69 Units / -29% ROI)
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games (+12.60 Units / 41% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.20 Units / 21% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+10.20 Units / 43% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.80 Units / 52% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 48% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 23 games (-12.85 Units / -49% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 26 games (-7.60 Units / -26% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 47 of their last 108 games (-22.85 Units / -14% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 1 of their last 6 games (-4.90 Units / -68% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 109 games (-14.77 Units / -11% ROI)
NYY vs MIN Top User Picks
More PicksNY Yankees Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TAURO1954 | 6-4-0 | +20640 |
| 2 | faustobaez | 5-5-0 | +18570 |
| 3 | faustobone | 5-5-0 | +18455 |
| 4 | proliner55 | 7-3-0 | +17645 |
| 5 | cucamonga | 6-4-0 | +17345 |
| 6 | Jets73 | 8-2-0 | +16105 |
| 7 | Hawggolf1 | 5-5-0 | +16085 |
| 8 | burley | 7-3-0 | +15930 |
| 9 | poppyg | 6-4-0 | +15772 |
| 10 | Fekete | 7-3-0 | +14610 |
| All Yankees Money Leaders | |||
Minnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||