Boston @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Wilyer Abreu tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Gibson. Wilyer Abreu's footspeed has increased this season. His 26.74 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.26 ft/sec now.

Garrett Cooper's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Garrett Cooper's 94.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 75th percentile since the start of last season. Garrett Cooper is in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50.7% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Garrett Cooper's launch angle since the start of last season (23.8°) is in the 98th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Busch Stadium ranks as the #22 ballpark in the game for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 6th-deepest LF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Jarren Duran's quickness has fallen off this season. His 29.5 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.04 ft/sec now.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ceddanne Rafaela is quite athletic, ranking in the 91st percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.96 ft/sec this year.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Extreme flyball bats like Nolan Gorman generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game. Ivan Herrera's footspeed has increased this year. His 26.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.47 ft/sec now. Ivan Herrera is in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (65.4% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Brendan Donovan will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best batter in MLB. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game. Since the start of last season, Rafael Devers's 12.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 87th percentile among his peers.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tyler O'Neill's 12.5% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 86th percentile since the start of last season. Tyler O'Neill has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 16.7° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (78th percentile).

Connor Wong is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. In the last 14 days, Connor Wong has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .383. Connor Wong's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) has been 113.6 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile. Connor Wong has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 16.2° mark is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (87th percentile).

The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt's 12.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Gibson today. Dominic Smith has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.9° mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (85th percentile).

The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme groundball bats like Nolan Arenado tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado's 16.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 84th percentile.

Matt Carpenter is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Matt Carpenter will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Matt Carpenter tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Matt Carpenter will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The weather report projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Alec Burleson will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.