Tampa Bay @ Toronto Picks & Props

Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Eflin in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Cavan Biggio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Cavan Biggio will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Cavan Biggio grades out in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (23% rate since the start of last season).

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has been lucky this year. His .252 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .236. Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season. Jose Siri ranks in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.2% rate since the start of last season).

Justin Turner is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Justin Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Justin Turner and his 15.9° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 85th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Harold Ramirez is projected as the 19th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Harold Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Harold Ramirez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Despite posting a .270 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Harold Ramirez has had bad variance on his side given the .045 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

When estimating his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bo Bichette is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today's game. Bo Bichette's quickness has improved this year. His 27.08 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.57 ft/sec now.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #24 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 5th-best pitching conditions of all games today. Kevin Gausman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's game. Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Yandy Diaz's speed has dropped off this year. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.08 ft/sec now.

Amed Rosario is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Rogers Centre profiles as the #24 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 5th-best pitching conditions of all games today. Kevin Gausman will have the handedness advantage over Amed Rosario today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Amed Rosario in today's game.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Isaac Paredes's 22.1° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the league: 99th percentile. Posting a .381 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Isaac Paredes grades out in the 93rd percentile.

Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's game.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest. Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Richie Palacios has posted a .340 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile. Checking in at the 82nd percentile, Richie Palacios sports a .264 batting average since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Randy Arozarena has been unlucky this year, putting up a .263 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .075 difference.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .331 mark is considerably lower than his .352 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Davis Schneider has recorded a .380 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 97th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP. Kevin Kiermaier will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Checking in at the 84th percentile, Kevin Kiermaier has put up a .324 BABIP since the start of last season.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Jose Caballero's 20.9° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the game: 93rd percentile.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage today. Danny Jansen grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 85th percentile, Danny Jansen has put up a .350 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.395) implies that George Springer has been unlucky this year with his .252 actual wOBA. George Springer's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) has been 115.9 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.