MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 5, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

3.98 @ 5.15

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Giants vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

3.98

+150

o7.5 -120

+1.5 -140

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

5.15

-157

u8.0 -112

-1.5 +135

Chi. Cubs @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.73 @ 4.25

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Cubs vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.73

-121

o8.0 -120

-1.5 +135

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.25

+115

u8.5 -115

+1.5 -152

Top Projection Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.52 @ 5.28

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Braves vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.52

+147

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -155

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.28

-156

u8.5 -119

-1.5 +142

Top Projection Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
o0.5+181
Detroit @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

3.81 @ 3.76

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Tigers vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

3.81

+143

o6.5 -130

+1.5 -160

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.76

-153

u7.0 -115

-1.5 +150

Top Projection Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+260
Milwaukee @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

5.41 @ 4.78

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Brewers vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

5.41

-152

o9.0 -114

-1.5 +106

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.78

+143

u9.5 -130

+1.5 -120

Top Projection Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
LA Angels @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.05 @ 4.75

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Angels vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.05

+162

o7.5 -112

+1.5 -137

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.75

-177

u8.0 -119

-1.5 +125

Top Projection Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Boston @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.27 @ 4.34

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Red Sox vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.27

-122

o8.0 -114

-1.5 +135

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.34

+125

u8.5 -125

+1.5 -140

Top Projection Adley Rutschman o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Tampa Bay @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

3.73 @ 3.94

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Rays vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

3.73

-105

o6.5 -120

+1.5 -245

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

3.94

-105

u7.0 -115

-1.5 +195

Top Projection Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+251)
o0.5+251
Toronto @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

5.46 @ 5.56

KC
KC logo
KC

Blue Jays vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

5.46

-105

o9.5 -110

-1.5 +145

KC logo
KC
KC

5.56

-104

u10.0 -139

+1.5 -166

Top Projection Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
o1.5+112
Minnesota @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.67 @ 4.50

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Twins vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.67

+107

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -192

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.50

-115

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +170

Top Projection Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
o1.5+175
NY Yankees @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.21 @ 4.47

SD
SD logo
SD

Yankees vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.21

+115

o7.5 -115

+2.5 -500

SD logo
SD
SD

4.47

-115

u8.0 -125

-2.5 +285

Top Projection Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
o0.5+178
Arizona @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.72 @ 4.50

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Diamondbacks vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.72

-105

o8.5 -120

-1.5 +150

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.50

-105

u9.0 -120

+1.5 -172

Top Projection Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
o0.5+145
St. Louis @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

6.35 @ 5.69

COL
COL logo
COL

Cardinals vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

6.35

-120

o10.5 -120

-1.5 +125

COL logo
COL
COL

5.69

+110

u11.0 -115

+1.5 -145

Top Projection Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+122)
o0.5+122
Washington @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.89 @ 4.41

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Nationals vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.89

+195

o7.0 -115

+2.0 -175

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.41

-213

u7.5 -124

-2.0 +143

Athletics @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.50 @ 4.58

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Athletics vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.50

+218

o7.5 -108

+1.5 +100

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.58

-240

u7.5 -105

-1.5 -110

Top Projection Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+246)
o0.5+250
Milwaukee @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

5.58 @ 4.26

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Brewers vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

5.58

--

--

--

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.26

--

--

--

Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.90 @ 4.93

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Braves vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.90

--

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.93

--

--

--

Boston @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.58 @ 3.85

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Red Sox vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.58

--

--

--

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.85

--

--

--

LA Angels @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.51 @ 4.57

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Angels vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.51

--

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.57

--

--

--

Detroit @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

3.70 @ 4.30

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Tigers vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

3.70

--

--

--

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.30

--

--

--

Chi. Cubs @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.86 @ 3.82

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Cubs vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.86

--

--

--

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

3.82

--

--

--

San Francisco @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

4.41 @ 4.47

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Giants vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

4.41

--

--

--

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.47

--

--

--

Toronto @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

5.57 @ 5.49

KC
KC logo
KC

Blue Jays vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

5.57

--

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

5.49

--

--

--

Arizona @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.60 @ 4.31

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Diamondbacks vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.60

--

--

--

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.31

--

--

--

Tampa Bay @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

3.98 @ 4.13

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Rays vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

3.98

--

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.13

--

--

--

San Francisco Giants image thumbnail SF @ New York Mets image thumbnail NYM Sat, Sep 5 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+271)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Juan Soto has a strong home run case with two bombs over the last week, plus a 57.1% hard-hit rate and 24.4% barrel rate. His 64.3% fly-ball rate gives him plenty of lift, while Anthony Molina and the Giants bullpen offer multiple paths.

Total Home Runs
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+271)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Juan Soto has a strong power profile with two homers, a 57.1% hard-hit rate, and a 24.4% barrel rate over the last week. Molina’s air-contact issues and the Giants bullpen aren't untouchable, either. 

View 14 Picks
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail CHC @ Miami Marlins image thumbnail MIA Sat, Sep 5 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+286)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Pete Crow-Armstrong is the hottest power bat on this card, launching six homers over his last six games with a .667 ISO. His 55% fly-ball rate and 30% barrel rate create a loud profile, while Ryan Gusto and Miami’s bullpen add matchup appeal.

Total Bases
Alex Bregman logo Alex Bregman o1.5 Total Bases (+147)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Alex Bregman is scorching with a .692 ISO, .423 average, and eight extra-base hits over his last six games. He has cleared this total in four of his last five, and Ryan Gusto’s recent vulnerability gives Bregman another strong matchup to attack.

View 12 Picks
Atlanta Braves image thumbnail ATL @ Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail PHI Sat, Sep 5 • 6:05 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Martin Perez logo Martin Perez u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Martin Perez has been steady lately, allowing one earned run or fewer in five of his last six appearances. The veteran has limited barrels, owns a 1.86 ERA over his last two starts, and already tossed six scoreless against Philadelphia earlier this season.

Total Home Runs
Trea Turner logo Trea Turner o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Todd Cordell logo
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Trea Turner has a nice history against Martin Perez, hitting .294 with an ISO just under .300.

He is also in excellent form facing Perez’ pitch mix. Turner’s average exit velocity is up nearly four miles per hour over the last 25 plate appearances, and his hard hit rate has soared to nearly 70% along the way.

View 14 Picks
Detroit Tigers image thumbnail DET @ Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE Sat, Sep 5 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jo Adell logo Jo Adell o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Todd Cordell logo
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Jo Adell crushes left-handed pitching. He has managed a .278 ISO and .949 OPS on the year, and his numbers are trending even further upwards.

He has hit .342 with a .368 ISO and 19.2% barrel rate against southpaws over his last 25 games.

Adell also has a great track record against Framber Valdez, going 7-25 (.280 BA) with five extra base hits. 

Total
Detroit Tigers image thumbnail Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail u7.5 (-138)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Todd Cordell logo
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Parker Messick has faced eight Bottom-10 teams in OPS vs. lefties. The results are remarkably good, with Messick allowing two runs or less in all eight.

Framber Valdez is an elite ground ball generator and his barrel rate has improved to 5.1% over the past 30 days. 

He shouldn’t give up much power, making the Under attractive to 60%.

View 13 Picks
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail MIL @ Cincinnati Reds image thumbnail CIN Sat, Sep 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+129)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB.. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.34
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Matt McLain ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
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Los Angeles Angels image thumbnail LAA @ Pittsburgh Pirates image thumbnail PIT Sat, Sep 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Jared Triolo logo
Jared Triolo u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jared Triolo is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. Home runs are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all stadiums.. Jared Triolo has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph dropping to 79.6-mph in the past 14 days.. Jared Triolo's launch angle this year (5.7°) is a significant dropoff from his 14.2° figure last season.. With a .280 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jared Triolo finds himself in the 9th percentile.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for left-handed BABIP.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.
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Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS @ Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail BAL Sat, Sep 5 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Roman Anthony logo
Roman Anthony o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP ability.. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Roman Anthony will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. Roman Anthony hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Roman Anthony's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 46.8% to 54.5%.
Total Bases
Colton Cowser logo
Colton Cowser o1.5 Total Bases (+295)
Projection 1.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Colton Cowser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the past two weeks, Colton Cowser's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph in recent games.. Colton Cowser's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 44.6% on the season to 69.6% over the last two weeks.
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Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX Sat, Sep 5 • 7:05 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Jacob deGrom logo Jacob deGrom u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+111)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Jacob deGrom has been dominant at Globe Life Field, where he owns a 2.13 FIP this season. Two of his last three home starts were scoreless, and he now faces a Tampa Bay lineup carrying an 85 wRC+ over the last week.

Moneyline
Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
Phil Naessens logo
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Texas is swinging the bats at an elite level, ranking second in MLB with a 124 wRC+ over the last fortnight. Jacob deGrom at home as a plus-money underdog against a flat Tampa Bay offense (84 wRC+) is the clearest form-versus-price discrepancy on the entire Saturday slate.

View 12 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays image thumbnail TOR @ Kansas City Royals image thumbnail KC Sat, Sep 5 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
George Springer logo George Springer o0.5 Total Home Runs (+405)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

George Springer has been making some loud contact lately, and should be able to get the barrel on Lugo, who won't overpower anyone. Springer has been extremely hot post-All-Star break, rocking a .856 OPS - let's see him connect with one tonight.

Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays image thumbnail TOR (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

The Toronto Blue Jays are winners of five of their last six, with the offense continuing to roll, scoring 26 runs across their last three games. There's not much in the way of stopping them from continuing that trend today, as Kansas City Royals starter Seth Lugo has struggled mightily this season, owning the highest xBA (.280) and xERA (5.16) of his career. 

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Minnesota Twins image thumbnail MIN @ Chicago White Sox image thumbnail CHW Sat, Sep 5 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Luke Keaschall has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties.. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate today (80%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Considering Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Luke Keaschall will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.
Total RBIs
Ryan Jeffers logo
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate today (80%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.
View 10 Picks
New York Yankees image thumbnail NYY @ San Diego Padres image thumbnail SD Sat, Sep 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+685)
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield logo
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I love Jazz music on a Saturday.

The left-handed matchup is not ideal on the surface, but Chisholm has hit five homers in 157 plate appearances against lefties this season. He also brings 19 home runs, a 42.9% hard-hit rate and a 90.8-mph average exit velocity. Ray’s primary four-seamer and slider have allowed a .426 and .409 xwOBA, respectively, while his 4.58 xERA ranks in the 38th percentile. Chisholm’s recent three-hit, home-run performance adds to the upside. 

Total
New York Yankees image thumbnail San Diego Padres image thumbnail u7.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Hatfield logo
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

This Under is built around matchup-specific starting pitching. Rodon has held the current Padres to a .278 wOBA, .207 xBA and .320 xSLG across 78 career plate appearances.  Ray’s overall profile is less convincing, with a his previously mentioned underlying metrics, but the Yankees have just a .182 xBA against him over 83 plate appearances. That is a much better matchup for Ray than his season-long numbers suggest.

Rodon’s limited workload is the biggest threat to the Under. However, the relative strength of the Yankees bullpen should be enough to keep even a flimsy Under in tact. With both lineups facing pitchers who have suppressed this specific group of hitters, I’d play Under 7.5 runs to 53%.

View 14 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail AZ @ Houston Astros image thumbnail HOU Sat, Sep 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Nolan Arenado logo Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Todd Cordell logo
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Sinkers and fastballs account for nearly 65% of Ethan Pecko’s pitches against right-handed batters. That sets up favorably for Nolan Arenado, who possesses ISOs above .230 when facing each of those pitches.

We’re still dealing with small samples with Pecko but he ranks in the fifth percentile or worse in xwOBA, xSLG, and ISO.

Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail AZ (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Todd Cordell logo
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Houston Astros rank dead last in wOBA vs. righties the past month, and their xwOBA is actually lower than the results they’ve garnered.

I have more faith in the Arizona Diamondbacks offense. They sit 16th in wOBA over the same span and are facing the inexperienced Ethan Pecko, who has not been able to keep runners off the bases (1.54 WHIP).

Back Arizona to 53%.

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St. Louis Cardinals image thumbnail STL @ Colorado Rockies image thumbnail COL Sat, Sep 5 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Cole Carrigg logo
Cole Carrigg o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Carrigg is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Cole Carrigg will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.29
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.
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Washington Nationals image thumbnail WAS @ Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail LAD Sat, Sep 5 • 9:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Freddie Freeman logo Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Faria logo
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Freddie Freeman has been particularly dangerous against the four-seamer from righties, batting a ridiculous .355 with a .554 SLG.

Six of his homers have come against that pitch type – the second most on LA – and it’s also Cade Cavalli’s most common offering (32.9%). 

Total
Washington Nationals image thumbnail Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail u7.5 (-134)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Faria logo
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

We're in for a pitcher's duel between Tyler Glasnow and Cade Cavalli, who has been great for Washington down the stretch. Cavalli owns a 1.75 ERA over his last six appearances.

The Nationals have hit the team total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games, while the Dodgers have done so in 24 of their last 35 home games.

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Athletics Athletics image thumbnail ATH @ Seattle Mariners image thumbnail SEA Sat, Sep 5 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Cal Raleigh logo Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total Home Runs (+286)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Cal Raleigh is waking up again with six homers over his last 11 appearances and a .513 ISO. He gets a favorable matchup against Jeffrey Springs, who has allowed major home run damage lately, and Raleigh’s air-contact profile gives him real upside.

Total Bases
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Zack Gelof is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among every team playing today.
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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.