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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 12, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
+148 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
4.98 |
-170
|
u8.5 -104
|
-1.5 +130
|
Colorado
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rockies last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Gordons last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Gordons last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0-2 in Tigers last 8 vs. National League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+319
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.90 |
+158 
|
o8.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -135 
|
|
5.24 |
-177
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +120 
|
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Coles last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.29 |
+105
|
o8.5 -134 
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
5.26 |
-120
|
u9.5 -121
|
-1.5 +160
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Pirates last 8 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Holmes' last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.94 |
-105
|
o8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.47 |
-108
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -170
|
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0-1 in Bradishs last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road underdog.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Blue Jays are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+203
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
-155
|
o7.0 -180
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
4.07 |
+140
|
u8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -120
|
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kings last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Giants last 6 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 vs. National League West.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+223
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.88 |
+100
|
o6.5 -244
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
4.57 |
-115
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +170
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Urenas last 5 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Urenas last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
-195
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
3.79 |
+165
|
u8.5 -150
|
+1.5 -108
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Dodgers are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Glasnows last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a win.
Miami
- Over is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 home games.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 on grass.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+272)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
-108
|
o8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.13 |
-108
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0-2 in Prielipps last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Prielipps last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Prielipps last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Prielipps last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.81 |
+165
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
5.54 |
-190
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +112
|
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dobnaks last 5 starts overall.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 home starts.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Suarezs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Suarezs last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.77 |
+125
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.65 |
-144
|
u8.0 -105
|
-1.5 +145
|
Houston
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
- Astros are 11-1 in their last 12 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 8-2 in Astros last 10 overall.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
o1.5+135
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.03 |
+160
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
5.31 |
-185
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +116
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0-1 in Singers last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Singers last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Singers last 4 road starts.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Top Projection
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.20 |
+100
|
o7.0 -215
|
-1.5 +161
|
|
4.68 |
-110
|
u8.5 -110
|
-2.0 +225
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 7-2-1 in White Sox last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Leahys last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Leahys last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Leahys last 8 home starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.08 |
+108
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
4.94 |
-115
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in Luzardos last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Phillies are 6-0 in Luzardos last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Atlanta
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Braves are 4-1 in Mahles last 5 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
+124
|
o7.5 -166
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
5.00 |
-140
|
u9.0 -135
|
-1.5 +145
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Rockers last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Rockers last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Arizona
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games following a win.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Pfaadts last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Pfaadts last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.84 |
-170
|
o9.5 -110
|
-1.5 -110
|
|
4.80 |
+150
|
u10.5 -160
|
+1.5 -104
|
Seattle
- Mariners are 5-0 in Woos last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Jumps last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
o0.5+192
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.88 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rockies last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Rockies last 7 overall.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0-2 in Tigers last 8 vs. National League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 on grass.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Camerons last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Tolles last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 home starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.37 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 8-1 in Painters last 9 starts on grass.
- Over is 7-1 in Painters last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Painters last 9 starts overall.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 13-1-1 in Holmes' last 15 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in Holmes' last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.59 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Scotts last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Mets are 5-0 in Scotts last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.53 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.09 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.70 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Over is 6-0 in Rogers' last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Ceases last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Ceases last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.28 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Astros last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Astros are 5-0 in Wesneskis last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Peraltas last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.18 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.88 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Dodgers are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Over is 7-0 in Wrobleskis last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Wrobleskis last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Over is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 home games.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.36 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.30 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 games as an underdog.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 12-3-1 in Twins last 16 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-3 in Twins last 10 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.84 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.11 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in Reds last 9 vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
COL
@
DET
Sat, Sep 12 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Cole Carrigg u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.97
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 5th-worst park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Cole Carrigg pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 5th-deepest LF fences today.. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cole Carrigg in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .335 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cole Carrigg has been lucky given the .041 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294.
Total Bases
Dillon Dingler o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Dillon Dingler is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Dillon Dingler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 16% to 19.7%.
NYM
@
NYY
Sat, Sep 12 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ben Rice o0.5 Total Home Runs (+300)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Total
o8.5 (+103)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
PIT
@
CHC
Sat, Sep 12 • 2:20 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Paul Skenes o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+119)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play this pick down to +100. Paul Skenes has looked more vulnerable lately, posting a 4.70 FIP across his last two starts. Chicago already tagged him for five earned runs earlier this season, and the Cubs enter with a 134 wRC+ over their last 12 games.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
BAL
@
TOR
Sat, Sep 12 • 3:07 PM ET
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. George Springer will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. George Springer has been unlucky this year, compiling a .319 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .026 difference.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #5 stadium in the majors for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-strongest of the day for batters.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
SD
@
SF
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-130)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
I’m playing the Over to 57%.
Cesar Perdomo has pitched to a 0.80 WHIP and 0.90 ERA through his first two starts. His WHIP in AAA was almost double while his ERA was 4.20 runs higher, clear signals his numbers are smoke and mirrors.
Michael King’s xFIP sits at 4.43 the last 30 days. He has not been nearly as untouchable as his results suggest, which should allow the San Francisco Giants to chip in.
Total Bases
Xander Bogaerts o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cesar Perdomo in today's game.. Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xander Bogaerts has had bad variance on his side given the .040 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.
LAA
@
WAS
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jose Siri u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Siri today.. Jose Siri has put up a .204 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 6th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Jose Siri has compiled a .092 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. The 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 83°.. Batting from the opposite that Walbert Urena throws from, Daylen Lile will have the upper hand today.. Bats such as Daylen Lile with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walbert Urena who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
LAD
@
MIA
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Tyler Glasnow o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+107)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play this prop down to +100. Tyler Glasnow is back missing bats, averaging 9.69 K/9 over his last two outings and striking out eight last time out. Miami has averaged nine strikeouts across its last three games, giving Glasnow a strong matchup to clear this number.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez u1.5 Total Bases (-176)
Projection 0.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #1 stadium in the majors for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Tyler Phillips will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today's game.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
CLE
@
MIN
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-120)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Gavin Williams and Bailey Ober offer an even starting duel, but Cleveland possesses baseball's most dominant active bullpen (2.83 SIERA, 5.9% walk rate over the last 14 days). In a tight matchup, I trust Cleveland's late-inning shutdown arms with the better bats to secure the win.
Total Bases
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Jo Adell ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Connor Prielipp throws from, Jo Adell will have the upper hand today.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.
KC
@
BOS
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Ranger Suarez o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Projection 6.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Kansas City Royals have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luke Maile, Matthew Lugo, Jac Caglianone, Carter Jensen).. Jim Wolf projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in today's game.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a good pitch framer.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today's game.
HOU
@
TB
Sat, Sep 12 • 6:10 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-129)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
I like the Over to 58%.
Peter Lambert sits in the 23rd percentile in ground ball rate this season. He’s not great at keeping the ball down, and the Rays excel at slapping it all over the field.
Ian Seymour ranks in the 12th percentile at limiting barrels and has paid the price of late, allowing 2.09 home runs per nine innings over his last 10 starts.
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins u1.5 Total Bases (-270)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Cedric Mullins is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Among every team today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.. Cedric Mullins's speed has decreased this year. His 28.4 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.86 ft/sec now.
CIN
@
MIL
Sat, Sep 12 • 7:10 PM ET
Runs
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Runs (+116)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play this pick down to +100. Elly De La Cruz is scorching, batting .474 over his last five games while scoring in eight of his previous nine. His .759 wOBA and six multi-hit performances over eight games give him plenty of opportunities to cross the plate again.
Total Bases
Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jake Bauers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. American Family Field ranks as the #8 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 6th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in American Family Field.. Among all parks, American Family Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.
CHW
@
STL
Sat, Sep 12 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
CHW (-105)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Luis Castillo gives Chicago a decisive frontline starting edge over Kyle Leahy. While the White Sox bats are cold (78 wRC+), Chicago's bullpen has been lockdown over the past 14 days (2.11 ERA, 1.83 BB/9), neutralizing the Cardinals' offensive advantage.
Total RBIs
Andrew Benintendi o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Andrew Benintendi ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Using Statcast data, Andrew Benintendi grades out in the 90th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 30.500.
PHI
@
ATL
Sat, Sep 12 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The #4 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Alec Bohm o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
TEX
@
AZ
Sat, Sep 12 • 8:10 PM ET
Moneyline
TEX (+125)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+207)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Chase Field profiles as the #3 stadium in baseball for overall right-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today's game.
SEA
@
ATH
Sat, Sep 12 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Max Muncy o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 78th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Max Muncy is penciled in 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Among all major league parks, Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the hottest weather of all games today at 94°.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cal Raleigh projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Among all major league parks, Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the hottest weather of all games today at 94°.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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