Tampa Bay @ Toronto Picks & Props

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho may have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Davis Schneider is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Davis Schneider will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Given Alek Manoah's large platoon split, Richie Palacios will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Civale in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage today.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.1° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the majors. Checking in at the 93rd percentile, Isaac Paredes has notched a .385 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage over Alek Manoah in today's game... and the cherry on top, Manoah has a large platoon split.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Randy Arozarena has suffered from bad luck given the .076 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.247) provides evidence that Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been lucky this year with his .289 actual wOBA.

When assessing his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 11th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.348) may lead us to conclude that Yandy Diaz has been unlucky this year with his .307 actual wOBA.

When assessing his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 7th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bo Bichette is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Bo Bichette will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in baseball. Jose Caballero has posted a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 6th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ben Rortvedt will hold the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manoah has a large platoon split. Ben Rortvedt hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Ben Rortvedt has been hot recently, putting up a .344 wOBA in the past two weeks. As it relates to plate discipline, Ben Rortvedt's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.69 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 87th percentile.

Justin Turner is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Justin Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Justin Turner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Justin Turner and his 15.9° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 85th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

Daniel Vogelbach is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Daniel Vogelbach will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daniel Vogelbach stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. George Springer will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, George Springer has experienced some negative variance this year. His .251 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .397.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 23.66 ft/sec to 24.44 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.