MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Apr 25 • 12:05 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
Boston Red Sox logo Baltimore Orioles logo YRFI/NRFI (Yes: +118)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Baltimore Orioles exploded for 10 runs in the series opener on Friday, putting up a four-spot in the bottom of the first inning. They’ve now scored a run in the first in back-to-back contests, and Garrett Crochet has been poor lately. He’s given up 15 earned runs across his last two outings, and the lefty has allowed at least one run in the first inning in both of those starts.

Total Home Runs
Tyler O'Neill logo Tyler O'Neill o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

It's well known that Tyler O'Neill has big-time power, and he can go deep at any given moment. He’ll face his former team today in the Boston Red Sox, with Garrett Crochet on the mound. Crochet has struggled. He owns a horrible 7.88 ERA through five starts, allowing five bombs in the process. Three of them have come on the road, and the Red Sox visit the Baltimore Orioles. O’Neill is 1-for-5 lifetime off the lefty with a homer.

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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Apr 25 • 2:15 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
Seattle Mariners logo St. Louis Cardinals logo YRFI/NRFI (No: -136)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Bryan Woo hasn't allowed a single run in the first inning this season, and Matthew Liberatore didn't allow one in his last start. Between these two teams, they've only scored in the first once in their last three contests. 

Total Home Runs
Randy Arozarena logo Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Randy Arozarena is 2-for-5 lifetime against Matthew Liberatore with a home run, and he’s 3-for-7 across his last two games with a pair of doubles. Arozarena is also batting .364 against left-handed pitchers, and .314 on the road. Liberatore has allowed three homers at Busch Stadium. 

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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, Apr 25 • 3:07 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Kevin Gausman logo Kevin Gausman o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Kevin Gausman has struck out at least six in each of his last two starts vs Cleveland

Total Hits
Myles Straw logo
Myles Straw u0.5 Total Hits (+100)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Myles Straw is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game.. The #7 venue in MLB for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Myles Straw has exhibited some bad exit velocity stats lately, averaging just 85.2-mph on his flyballs over the past week.. Myles Straw's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) has been 107.2 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 3rd percentile.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Apr 25 • 4:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
Miami Marlins logo San Francisco Giants logo YRFI/NRFI (No: -160)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Two elite arms on the hill here with Robbie Ray facing Eury Perez. Ray is 4-1 NRFI/YRFI this season, and Perez hasn't allowed a first-inning run in back-to-back outings. Both of these offenses are underwhelming as well. 

Total Bases
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Stowers is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The league's highest fence height (on average) can be found at Oracle Park.. Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate today at 56°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Hitting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Kyle Stowers meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Apr 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Richie Palacios logo
Richie Palacios u0.5 Total Hits (-110)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Richie Palacios is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today's game.. 55% of the time that Richie Palacios has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #28 park in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Richie Palacios has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Apr 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest forecasts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games today at 51°.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Munetaka Murakami's true offensive talent to be a .351, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .061 disparity between that mark and his actual .412 wOBA.
Total Hits
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest forecasts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games today at 49°.. Noah Schultz will have the handedness advantage over Daylen Lile in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Schultz's large platoon split.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Daylen Lile today.. Daylen Lile's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91.8-mph EV last season has decreased to 88.9-mph.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Apr 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Mark Vientos logo
Mark Vientos u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to less offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the coldest temperature of all games on the slate today at 45°.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.7°, Mark Vientos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.5°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Mark Vientos has shown poor plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile with a 3.78 K/BB rate.
Total Hits
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Citi Field ranks as the #29 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to less offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the coldest temperature of all games on the slate today at 45°.. Batting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Juan Soto encounters a tough challenge today.. Juan Soto has struggled with his Barrel%; his 18% rate last season has decreased to 11.1% this year.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sat, Apr 25 • 6:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Cronenworth logo
Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen today.. The Arizona Diamondbacks don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game.. Jake Cronenworth has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.5% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last week.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (-150)
Projection 3.14
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen today.. The Arizona Diamondbacks don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill is certain to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sat, Apr 25 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Sam Haggerty logo
Sam Haggerty u0.5 Total Hits (-105)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sam Haggerty is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.. Sam Haggerty's 2.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.. Sam Haggerty and his 4.1° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 9th percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.
Total Hits
Andy Ibanez logo
Andy Ibanez u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Ibanez in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #1 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.. Andy Ibanez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Andy Ibanez's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 27.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.47 ft/sec now.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Apr 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 9th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs.. Among all parks, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Total Bases
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Jake Bauers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 9th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs.. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. Among all parks, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sat, Apr 25 • 7:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
New York Yankees logo Houston Astros logo u8.5 (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Ryan Weathers' breaking ball has given him a strong putaway pitch, and I think it shows up again tonight. His last outing was dynamite, and I think his chase rate and whiff rate, which both rank in the top 70% of baseball, will play well against an offense that has struggled in 2026. 

While I expect the Yankees' bats to succeed against Burrows, I also expect they'll cool off to some degree and revert to their 2025 swing-and-miss metrics.

Spread
New York Yankees logo NYY -1.5 (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

New York ranks 11th in baseball in barrels and hard-hit rate, sits well below the league average in chase rate, and generates elite exit velocity when they make contact. For starters, I don't need to tell you that this Yankees lineup is elite against the fastball, but it's a story here given how much Burrows throws it.

Perhaps a bigger story? Burrows posted a chase rate in the 78th percentile of baseball, and New York had one of the lowest chase rates in the sport. This is a direct strength versus a strength, and I'll take the Yankees' bats in that fight more often than not.

I projected this spread to be juiced to -110 and would play it to that.

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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sat, Apr 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Michael Massey logo
Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Michael Massey is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Today, Michael Massey is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.2% rate (95th percentile).. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.201) implies that Michael Massey has been lucky since the start of last season with his .244 actual batting average.. Posting a .257 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Michael Massey has performed in the 4th percentile.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games today.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, Apr 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart as the 15th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 ballpark in MLB for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Sal Stewart has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+122)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 stadium in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jack Flaherty.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sat, Apr 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. In the league, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. In the league, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sat, Apr 25 • 7:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Ronald Acuna Jr has hits in 14 of his last 17, grabbing at least two total bases in seven of them.

Total Hits
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matt Olson has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and will be challenged by MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of every team in action today.. Matt Olson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 39.4% on the season to 25% in the past 7 days.. Matt Olson has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .274 rate is inflated compared to his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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