Baltimore @ St. Louis Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Ryan O'Hearn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Jordan Westburg has posted a .286 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jordan Westburg's 90.2-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in the majors since the start of last season: 77th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Gunnar Henderson has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .392.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. In the past 14 days, Adley Rutschman has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .350. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.245) implies that Adley Rutschman has had positive variance on his side this year with his .299 actual batting average.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against John Means. Dylan Carlson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Carlson has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .281 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340. Dylan Carlson grades out in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.6% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage today. Using Statcast data, Brendan Donovan grades out in the 94th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .370. Sporting a .310 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brendan Donovan is ranked in the 98th percentile.

Ivan Herrera's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.6-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that John Means throws from, Ivan Herrera will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Ivan Herrera will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ivan Herrera has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 26.72 ft/sec to 27.45 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Cedric Mullins II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cedric Mullins II's true offensive skill to be a .310, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .060 deviation between that mark and his actual .250 wOBA. Cedric Mullins II's 21.7° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in baseball: 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Ryan Mountcastle has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .252 BA is a good deal higher than his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Ryan Mountcastle's 12% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Ryan Mountcastle has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.6 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), checking in at the 89th percentile.

Batting from the same side that John Means throws from, Alec Burleson will have a tough challenge in today's game. Alec Burleson has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Alec Burleson is not very athletic, checking in at the 18th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.83 ft/sec this year.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Nolan Arenado will have the handedness advantage against John Means in today's game. Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Nolan Arenado has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .302 mark is inflated compared to his .280 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Colton Cowser's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage today. In the last 14 days, Colton Cowser has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .371. When it comes to plate discipline, Colton Cowser's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.92 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 3rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will bat from his worse side (0) today against Kyle Gibson Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Masyn Winn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against John Means in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage today. Masyn Winn has posted a .291 batting average this year, placing in the 87th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) suggests that Jorge Mateo has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .225 actual batting average. Jorge Mateo has really hit the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rate him as one of baseball's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.89 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is very athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.6-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that John Means throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.6-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage in today's game. Nolan Gorman's 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 98th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 93rd percentile at 95.6 mph.