Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today.