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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 20, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.73 |
+102 
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
4.79 |
-115 
|
u8.5 -122
|
-1.5 +180
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Martins last 7 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 10-1 in Martins last 11 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
Top Projection
Brenton Doyle o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
o1.5+325
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.56 |
-115 
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.37 |
+104
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -170
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 on grass.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Walker Jenkins o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
o1.5+145
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 |
+133
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -167
|
|
4.50 |
-145 
|
u8.5 -117
|
-1.5 +150 
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 starts on grass.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+191
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.28 |
+105
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 -203
|
|
4.68 |
-115
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +170
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 road games.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Arizona
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. American League East.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.22 |
+230
|
o8.5 -104
|
+2.0 -120
|
|
5.14 |
-270
|
u8.5 -111
|
-2.0 +100
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.06 |
-200
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 -115 
|
|
3.64 |
+176
|
u7.5 -107
|
+1.5 +102
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 interleague starts.
- Orioles are 5-1 in Youngs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Colton Cowser o0.5 Total RBIs (+412)
o0.5+425
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
-104
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
|
4.02 |
-110
|
u7.5 -108
|
+1.5 -194
|
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Yesavages last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 overall.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.00 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.32 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Tigers last 4 home games.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.81 |
-124
|
o7.5 -142
|
-1.5 +138
|
|
|
4.19 |
+106
|
u7.5 +116
|
+1.5 -166
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 overall.
San Francisco
- Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.35 |
+115
|
o6.5 -150
|
-1.5 +210
|
|
|
4.44 |
-135
|
u9.5 -339
|
+2.5 -450
|
Tampa Bay
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rasmussens last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. American League East.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
MIN
@
LAA
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Kody Clemens ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Johnson throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will get to bat from his good side against Ryan Johnson in this game.
MIA
@
SD
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+390)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Fernando Tatis Jr. is crushing Sandy Alcantara’s pitch mix.
He has managed an impressive .333 ISO with a 20.7% barrel rate and 69.2% hard hit rate over the last 25 games when facing Alcantara’s four most-used pitches.
Using the same criteria, Tatis Jr. owns a low 4.3% walk rate. He is tearing the cover off the ball and not doing so aggressively. He’s not grinding out free passes.
Moneyline
SD (-134)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
I’m on the San Diego Padres up to 58%.
Sandy Alcantara has allowed at least four runs in four of his past five starts, posting a 5.52 xFIP along the way.
It’ll be tough to get back on track against the San Diego Padres. They rank sixth in hard hit rate, fifth in xwOBA, and first in xSLG against right-handed pitching in September.
NYY
@
AZ
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-114)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The way Warren has been pitching, runs will already be at a premium for the Diamondbacks, while if Burnes can lock in, it should be the same for the Yankees. The Arizona right-hander owns a 3.39 xERA and just a 37.50% hard-hit rate since returning. If he can limit those hard-hit balls, this could end up being a pitching duel.
Moneyline
NYY (-114)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Will Warren has been pitching at an elite level lately, posting a 0.64 ERA, 3.08 FIP and 1.00 WHIP over his last three starts. With Arizona striking out at a high rate as of late, Warren has a strong opportunity to shut down the Diamondbacks lineup.
On the other side, Corbin Burnes has been solid since returning, but he is allowing a near-17% barrel rate, while opposing hitters have a .360 xwOBA.
With the Yankees generating a hard-hit rate above 43% lately, I expect New York to bounce back and give Warren enough run support this afternoon.
SF
@
LAD
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total Home Runs (+450)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The HR props at Dodger Stadium are popping for the home side for a couple of reasons, and I'm investing. Dodger Stadium has some of the better hitting conditions today, with near-80-degree temperatures and 9-mph winds blowing out to center field. Next is the plus-plus matchup. Lefty Matt Wilkinson will open and could be pushed to eat 12-plus outs. He pitched to a 5.15 ERA in Triple-A this season and gave up seven home runs in 43-plus innings. He's already had a three-HR game against the Mets in just three frames of work. The +EV home run, per the projections today, is Mookie Betts at 5.5x with a fair price of 4x. He has been ripping at the plate of late, going 7-for-8 in the series with two home runs and slashing .397/.493/.794 in September. It's another mispriced homer in the soft Sunday markets.
Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+286)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Matt Wilkinson is essentially a two-pitch guy when facing right-handed bats, tossing his four-seamer 59% and his changeup 27%. This is music to the ears of Teoscar Hernandez, who has blasted changeups this year (151 wRC+) and has hit four-seamers (157 wRC+) better than any other offering throughout his career.
MIL
@
BAL
Sun, Sep 20 • 7:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+398)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Jackson Chourio owns a .475 xSLG with a 12.4% barrel rate this season and has hit 47.0% of his batted balls at 95 mph or harder. He's developed into one of the Brewers' most consistent sources of loud contact.
Young has kept his overall barrel rate relatively low, but hitters have still produced a .406 xSLG against him, and his lack of elite swing-and-miss stuff means Chourio should get opportunities to put the ball in play.
Total
u7.5 (-111)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
The Miz gives Baltimore a difficult assignment, but Brandon Young is the more interesting part of this handicap at such a low total. I like this to 7 at 50%.
His 4.42 xERA suggests some regression risk, but Young has allowed just a 6.7% barrel rate, giving him a path to limit the type of damaging contact. I expect Milwaukee to eventually get to him because of the aforementioned lack of groundball prowess, but it's unlikely to come in bulk if recent trends hold. The Brewers were held to just one run and three hits Saturday against a middling Trevor Rogers.
It's also helpful that the Brewers have enough bullpen depth to protect that type of game script late. I’ll take the Under.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
