Seattle @ Washington Picks & Props

The #4 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Hitting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Joey Meneses will have a tough challenge in today's game. Joey Meneses has compiled a .287 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Joey Meneses's 5.3% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 23rd percentile among his peers. Joey Meneses's 90.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 20th percentile since the start of last season.

Nationals Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Luis Garcia's 4.4° launch angle (a reliable metric to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in the league: 5th percentile.

Nationals Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). CJ Abrams's 87.3-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in the league since the start of last season: 18th percentile. CJ Abrams ranks in the 22nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (39.9% rate since the start of last season). A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits, and CJ Abrams's 29.9° mark (13th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a weak hitting profile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesse Winker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby today.

J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). J.P. Crawford may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, J.P. Crawford has suffered from bad luck this year. His .272 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .338.

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against George Kirby. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Gallo will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. Joey Gallo pulls many of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Seattle's 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Joey Gallo, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Young has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game.

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Nick Senzel will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Eddie Rosario has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage over George Kirby in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have the upper hand in today's game. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has had some very poor luck given the .075 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .352. Sporting a .360 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Julio Rodriguez is ranked in the 90th percentile for offensive ability.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jorge Polanco's true offensive talent to be a .326, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .055 gap between that figure and his actual .271 wOBA. With a .355 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jorge Polanco is ranked in the 86th percentile for hitting ability. Since the start of last season, Jorge Polanco's 13.7% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 89th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ty France is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.

The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Mitch Haniger will have an advantage today. Since the start of last season, Mitch Haniger's 11.3% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Mitch Haniger and his 19.9% rank in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.

This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cal Raleigh's 12.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 85th percentile since the start of last season. Ranking in the 80th percentile, the hardest ball Cal Raleigh has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 95th percentile with a 19.9° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the majors.

Mitch Garver is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mitch Garver will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Mitch Garver's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 25.58 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.25 ft/sec now. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.214) implies that Mitch Garver has had bad variance on his side this year with his .184 actual batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Dylan Moore will have the upper hand today. Dylan Moore has been hot recently, putting up a .367 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Josh Rojas has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.