Atlanta @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-deepest LF fences today. Typically, bats like Ozzie Albies who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bailey Falter. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ozzie Albies in today's game. Ozzie Albies's quickness has fallen off this year. His 27.54 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.52 ft/sec now. Hitting the ball to all fields is a core ability for batting average that Ozzie Albies has struggled with since the start of last season, as evidenced by his checking in at the 2nd percentile on THE BAT X's Spray Score.

Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Marcell Ozuna's footspeed has declined this year. His 26.37 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.28 ft/sec now. Despite posting a .431 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcell Ozuna has been very fortunate given the .087 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .344.

PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally bad for HRs. Bailey Falter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Olson in today's game. Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. This year, there has been a decline in Matt Olson's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.14 ft/sec last year to 25.33 ft/sec currently.

PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally bad for HRs. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's game. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 7.4° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in the majors: 14th percentile.

PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally bad for HRs. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will bat from his bad side against Ray Kerr today.

Michael Harris II is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game. Bailey Falter will have the handedness advantage against Michael Harris II in today's game. Michael Harris II has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II in today's game. Michael Harris II's quickness has decreased this year. His 28.78 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Oneil Cruz has been lucky this year. His .308 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .294.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Ji Hwan Bae is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Reynaldo Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ji Hwan Bae in today's game. Ji Hwan Bae will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.71 ft/sec since the start of last season, Ji Hwan Bae is very athletic.

Jared Triolo's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Ray Kerr throws from, Jared Triolo will have an edge in today's game. Jared Triolo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. Michael A. Taylor will hold the platoon advantage against Ray Kerr in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Michael A. Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.258) suggests that Michael A. Taylor has suffered from bad luck this year with his .240 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Edward Olivares is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Ray Kerr throws from, Edward Olivares will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Joe in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Connor Joe is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Ray Kerr throws from, Connor Joe will have an advantage in today's game.

Travis d'Arnaud is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. Travis d'Arnaud will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. Andrew McCutchen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ray Kerr in today's matchup.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Orlando Arcia will have an advantage in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Orlando Arcia tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. The switch-hitting Yasmani Grandal will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Ray Kerr. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Yasmani Grandal will hold that advantage in today's game.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. Adam Duvall will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Since the start of last season, Adam Duvall's 12.6% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 85th percentile among his peers.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°. Zack Short will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Zack Short ranks in the 92nd percentile with a 20.6° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

Joey Bart has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.