Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston
Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team in action today. Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, compiling a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .025 discrepancy. By putting up a .275 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Jarren Duran is positioned in the 11th percentile for hitting ability. Since the start of last season, Jarren Duran's 5.3% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 23rd percentile among his peers.