Toronto @ Detroit Picks & Props

The 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Comerica Park. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 33%. Because of Matt Manning's large platoon split, Bo Bichette will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Bichette today.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage over Alek Manoah today... and moreover, Manoah has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's game.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 33%. Because of Matt Manning's large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks in the 6th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (11.5% rate since the start of last season).

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Javier Baez will hold that advantage in today's game. Javier Baez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .207 rate is a good deal lower than his .282 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Kerry Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage over Alek Manoah in today's matchup... and even better, Manoah has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kerry Carpenter will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wenceel Perez in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Wenceel Perez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Wenceel Perez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Wenceel Perez has been hot of late, cruising to a .367 wOBA in the last 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team in action today. Davis Schneider has recorded a .380 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 97th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kenta Maeda. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. When it comes to his batting average, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has had positive variance on his side this year. His .255 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .200.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Spencer Torkelson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Torkelson's true offensive ability to be a .327, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .055 disparity between that mark and his actual .272 wOBA. Spencer Torkelson has put up a .350 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 81st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mark Canha ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Canha is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mark Canha will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mark Canha has displayed strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 79th percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Manning in today's game... and even more favorably, Manning has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball batters like Kevin Kiermaier tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kenta Maeda. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. In notching a .327 BABIP since the start of last season, Kevin Kiermaier is ranked in the 86th percentile.

Danny Jansen is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. Danny Jansen grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). By putting up a .359 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Danny Jansen is positioned in the 92nd percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. George Springer has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .190 BA is a fair amount lower than his .313 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Placing in the 94th percentile, the hardest ball George Springer has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.9 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Given Matt Manning's large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.214) suggests that Daulton Varsho has suffered from bad luck this year with his .213 actual batting average.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Cavan Biggio will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Manning in today's game... and even better, Manning has a large platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. Cavan Biggio ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (23% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Cavan Biggio's launch angle since the start of last season (26.5°) is in the 79th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Vierling will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, Matt Vierling is in the 79th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .274.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jake Rogers will hold that advantage today. Jake Rogers has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .215 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Jake Rogers's 12% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Jake Rogers's 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah in today's game... and even better, Manoah has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Zach McKinstry has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .226 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260. Zach McKinstry's 17.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the league: 88th percentile.

Justin Turner is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. Justin Turner has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 15.9° mark is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (85th percentile). By putting up a 1.62 K/BB rate this year, Justin Turner has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Considering Alek Manoah's large platoon split, Colt Keith will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .247 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colt Keith has had bad variance on his side given the .053 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.