Philadelphia @ Colorado Picks & Props

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity of the day at 22%. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Bohm in today's matchup. Alec Bohm has been lucky this year, posting a .381 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .061 gap. Alec Bohm has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 7.9° angle is among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season (20th percentile).

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity of the day at 22%. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today's matchup.

Edmundo Sosa is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup. When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Edmundo Sosa has been pinch hit for 39% of the time. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity of the day at 22%. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Edmundo Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity of the day at 22%. Ty Blach will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Harper in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Harper today. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Bryce Harper and his 12.4% rank in the 12th percentile since the start of last season.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity of the day at 22%. Hitting from the same side that Ty Blach throws from, Kyle Schwarber has a tough challenge today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Kyle Schwarber has notched a .186 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Whit Merrifield is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity of the day at 22%. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Whit Merrifield in today's game.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity of the day at 22%. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Castellanos in today's game. Sporting a .267 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Nick Castellanos finds himself in the 23rd percentile. Nick Castellanos has notched a .252 BABIP this year, ranking in the 19th percentile.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity of the day at 22%. Typically, bats like Brendan Rodgers who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristopher Sanchez. Brendan Rodgers's speed has declined this season. His 26.33 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.73 ft/sec now. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Brendan Rodgers ranks in just the 10th percentile with a 5° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball. By putting up a .264 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Brendan Rodgers grades out in the 21st percentile.

Johan Rojas is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today's game. Johan Rojas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Johan Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity of the day at 22%. Hitting from the same side that Ty Blach throws from, Bryson Stott has a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryson Stott in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity of the day at 22%. Elias Diaz's speed has decreased this season. His 25.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.42 ft/sec now. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elias Diaz's true offensive skill to be a .289, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .063 gap between that mark and his actual .352 wOBA. Elias Diaz's 87.9-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Coors Field grades out as the #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Brenton Doyle will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle and his 15.3° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 80th percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Jordan Beck will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jordan Beck will hold that advantage in today's game. Jordan Beck has been unlucky this year, putting up a .206 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .081 discrepancy.

Kris Bryant is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Kris Bryant will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kris Bryant will hold that advantage today.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity of the day at 22%. Despite posting a .328 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Tovar has had some very good luck given the .036 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292. Ezequiel Tovar has put up a .302 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 25th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranked in the 23rd percentile, Ezequiel Tovar's average exit velocity of 87.8 mph ranks among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season. In terms of plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's talent is quite bad, putting up a 7.81 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 3rd percentile.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Hunter Goodman will have an edge in today's matchup. Hunter Goodman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Hunter Goodman's quickness has improved this year. His 27.59 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.05 ft/sec now.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Cristian Pache will hold the platoon advantage against Ty Blach today. Since the start of last season, Cristian Pache's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 76th percentile at 93.9 mph.

Elehuris Montero is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Elehuris Montero will have an advantage in today's matchup. Elehuris Montero will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Alan Trejo will have an advantage in today's matchup. Alan Trejo will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Alan Trejo grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50.3% rate since the start of last season).