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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 31, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
+135 
|
o9.0 -114 
|
+1.5 -155 
|
|
4.95 |
-142
|
u9.5 -121
|
-1.5 +142
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 interleague starts.
Top Projection
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5 +150
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.36 |
-131
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +134 
|
|
4.22 |
+119
|
u8.0 -120 
|
+1.5 -142
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Skenes' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Skenes' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Skenes' last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Skenes' last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in Greenes last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 overall.
Top Projection
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5 +180
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.04 |
+108
|
o8.5 -131
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.92 |
-120
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +164
|
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2-2 in Phillies last 12 interleague games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 6-0 in Youngs last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 6-0 in Youngs last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Top Projection
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5 +155
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.03 |
+152
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
4.59 |
-168
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +130
|
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-0 in Leahys last 7 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Leahys last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 home games.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Jimmy Crooks o0.5 Total RBIs (+352)
o0.5 +352
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
+130
|
o8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.73 |
-142
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +155
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in Feddes last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- White Sox are 6-0 in Feddes last 6 starts.
- White Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games.
- Under is 7-0 in Martinezs last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.51 |
+115
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.08 |
-131
|
u9.0 -134 
|
-1.5 +158
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
+114
|
o8.0 -130
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.73 |
-126
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +165
|
Miami
- Under is 8-1 in Marlins last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Junks last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0 in Peraltas last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.47 |
+108
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
5.36 |
-121
|
u9.5 -131
|
-1.5 +166
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in Griffins last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Griffins last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Elders last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
o0.5 +199
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.94 |
+109
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
3.97 |
-121
|
u8.0 -108
|
-1.5 +173
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Eovaldis last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
Houston
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.89 |
-107
|
o11.0 -113
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
6.06 |
-103
|
u11.5 -120
|
+1.5 -160
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Wachas last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Rockies are 7-0 in Suganos last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.13 |
-162
|
o9.0 -105
|
-1.5 -103
|
|
4.73 |
+152
|
u9.5 -131
|
+1.5 -107
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Drohans last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5 +205
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.84 |
-154
|
o10.5 -112
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
5.78 |
+135
|
u11.0 -120
|
+1.5 -115
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 overall.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.90 |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
4.89 |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Whisenhunts last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Whisenhunts last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.84 |
+146
|
-- |
-- |
|
4.93 |
-167
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 12-3 in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+158
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.98 |
-175
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +120
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Matthews' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5 +255
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Gausmans last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Gausmans last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Gausmans last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as an underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillips' last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Twins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Seattle
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts as a favorite.
Cincinnati
- Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-0 in Blancos last 5 home starts.
- Astros are 4-0 in Blancos last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in Messicks last 6 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 road games.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Cubs last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+158
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-209
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Mikolas' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Atlanta
- Over is 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 7-0 in Lopezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 road games.
- Under is 9-0 in Royals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 games as a road underdog.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-149
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Gassers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Gassers last 7 starts on grass.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Angels are 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-154
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 overall.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
NYY
@
CHC
Fri, Jul 31 • 2:20 PM ET
Total
o9.5 (+109)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I’m playing the Over because both sides have a scoring path tied to the starters. New York’s case is obvious.
The Cubs can contribute against Will Warren, too. He owns a 4.59 xERA with a 41.0% hard-hit rate. The Cubs aren't a crazy explosive group, but a .340 OBP along with a solid walk rate can create the traffic Warren has struggled to navigate. I'd play this to -105.
Moneyline
NYY (+124)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
For a second straight start, I find myself in the position of backing New York Yankees arm Will Warren. And, for the second straight start, it's not because of him but his opponent. This is a decent misprice, and I'd play the Yankees down to +100 for two units.
Shota Imanaga’s barrel profile is a real concern against this lineup. He has allowed a 9.4% barrel rate, which sits in the bottom quarter of MLB, while the Bombers own a 9.6% team barrel rate, the best mark in baseball. That’s the biggest advantage for either team in this matchup.
PIT
@
CIN
Fri, Jul 31 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Noelvi Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+238)
Projection 1.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest left field fences in MLB.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+149)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #3 venue in MLB for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Paul Skenes today.
PHI
@
BAL
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 85°.. J.T. Realmuto has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 85°.. Taylor Ward has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
STL
@
TOR
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alec Burleson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year's 92.6-mph figure.
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's game.. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.7% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the last 14 days.
CHW
@
TB
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+122)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as Major League Baseball's 2nd-best home run batter.. Munetaka Murakami is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The #4 park in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Munetaka Murakami will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup.. Munetaka Murakami has a ton of pop (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (35.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Nick Martinez is a pitch-to-contact type (1st percentile K%) — great news for Murakami.
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -13° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Cedric Mullins has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 84.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Cedric Mullins's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 12.6% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.. Based on Statcast metrics, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 5th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .202.
AZ
@
CLE
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Nolan Arenado o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best field in baseball for righty base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 38.1% to 45.5%.. Over the last two weeks, Nolan Arenado's 63.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.5%.
MIA
@
NYM
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Heriberto Hernandez has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Heriberto Hernandez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last season's 93.6-mph mark.
Total Bases
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.. Brett Baty's launch angle this year (11.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 5.7° mark last year.. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.3°, Brett Baty has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.8° mark in the past two weeks' worth of games.
WAS
@
ATL
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Daylen Lile's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daylen Lile is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 venue in MLB for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 89°.
Total Bases
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 venue in MLB for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense.
TEX
@
HOU
Fri, Jul 31 • 8:15 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+103)
Projection 2.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Wyatt Langford pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Hitters such as Wyatt Langford with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Wyatt Langford has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 94.2-mph in the last 7 days.
Total Bases
Joc Pederson u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Minute Maid Park ranks as the #28 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -13° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. In today's matchup, Joc Pederson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.9% rate (91st percentile).
KC
@
COL
Fri, Jul 31 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (-123)
Projection 2.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (-119)
Projection 2.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Salvador Perez has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.1% seasonal rate to 17.2% over the past 14 days.
MIL
@
LAA
Fri, Jul 31 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Shane Drohan throws from, Zach Neto will have an advantage today.
Total Bases
Brice Turang o1.5 Total Bases (+109)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Because of Ryan Johnson's large platoon split, Brice Turang will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.
DET
@
ATH
Fri, Jul 31 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In MLB, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 105°.
Total Bases
Carlos Cortes o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #2 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In MLB, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 105°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.9-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Carlos Cortes will have an edge in today's matchup.
MIN
@
SEA
Fri, Jul 31 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Trevor Larnach o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest fences among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Trevor Larnach will have the upper hand today.. Trevor Larnach pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Home Runs
Weston Wilson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
Projection 0.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest fences among all stadiums.. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all parks.. Weston Wilson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. By putting up a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson is positioned in the 80th percentile for hitting ability.. Using Statcast metrics, Weston Wilson ranks in the 75th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 22.900.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
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