Kansas City @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Tropicana Field grades out as the #26 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Yandy Diaz will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today. Typically, batters like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brady Singer. Yandy Diaz's quickness has declined this year. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.09 ft/sec now.

Tropicana Field grades out as the #26 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Aaron Civale will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team in action today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game.

Tropicana Field grades out as the #26 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Maikel Garcia has a tough challenge in today's matchup. In today's game, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.9% rate (91st percentile). The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team in action today.

Nelson Velazquez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Tropicana Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. With a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez has performed in the 86th percentile for offensive ability. Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Nelson Velazquez's 95.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

Richie Palacios is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Richie Palacios will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's game... and the cherry on top, Singer has a large platoon split. Richie Palacios pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Richie Palacios will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Placing in the 82nd percentile, Richie Palacios sports a .336 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Hunter Renfroe pulls many of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Despite posting a .240 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Hunter Renfroe has had bad variance on his side given the .065 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Hunter Renfroe has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph (a reliable metric to study power), grading out in the 75th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .253 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Randy Arozarena has had some very poor luck given the .084 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337. Randy Arozarena has notched a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Tropicana Field. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Adam Frazier will have an edge in today's matchup.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44.4% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Isaac Paredes usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brady Singer. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.1° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB.

Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Siri will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.235) suggests that Jose Siri has been very fortunate this year with his .239 actual wOBA. Since the start of last season, Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Jose Siri and his 19.2% rank in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.

The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Tropicana Field. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Brandon Lowe's 95.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.

Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today. Jose Caballero's 20.9° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in Major League Baseball: 93rd percentile. Jose Caballero has recorded a .322 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Ben Rortvedt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and the cherry on top, Singer has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage today. With a 1.74 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Ben Rortvedt has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Civale today. Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Michael Massey has been hot recently, cruising to a .344 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Michael Massey ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 19.6° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Civale in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Vinnie Pasquantino is in the 95th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .372.

Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Tropicana Field. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and the cherry on top, Singer has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale today. MJ Melendez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.285) implies that MJ Melendez has suffered from bad luck this year with his .179 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, MJ Melendez's 11.6% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Salvador Perez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .396. Salvador Perez has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15° angle is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (77th percentile).

When estimating his batting average talent, Amed Rosario is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.