Texas @ Minnesota Picks & Props
TEX vs MIN Picks
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TEX vs MIN Consensus Picks
TEX vs MIN Props
Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas
Corey Seager hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Corey Seager's speed has declined this year. His 26.12 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.09 ft/sec now.
Evan Carter Total Hits Props • Texas
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Paddack in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. As it relates to his batting average, Evan Carter has had some very poor luck this year. His .194 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .218.
Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Texas
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) implies that Nathaniel Lowe has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .261 actual batting average.
Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Marcus Semien grades out in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.2% rate since the start of last season).
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today. Sporting a .329 BABIP since the start of last season, Willi Castro has performed in the 87th percentile.
Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Adolis Garcia has recorded a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Duran is in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .280. Ezequiel Duran's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to evaluate power) has been 115.2 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile.
Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill. Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Edouard Julien will have an advantage today. Edouard Julien is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP.
Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Jose Miranda's batting average skill is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Miranda is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Jose Miranda will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Travis Jankowski Total Hits Props • Texas
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Travis Jankowski will have an edge in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Based on Statcast metrics, Travis Jankowski grades out in the 76th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .264. In terms of plate discipline, Travis Jankowski's talent is quite strong, sporting a 1.37 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 94th percentile.
Josh H. Smith Total Hits Props • Texas
Josh Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Josh Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Josh Smith has posted a .347 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Leody Taveras has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (98% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Leody Taveras has notched a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Carlos Correa is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Carlos Correa will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Carlos Correa has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .359.
Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Byron Buxton's 14.4% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.
Alex Kirilloff Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Alex Kirilloff will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Lorenzen in today's game. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Kirilloff stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Alex Kirilloff will hold that advantage today.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ryan Jeffers's 11.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Ryan Jeffers has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 117.4 mph (a reliable stat to evaluate power), placing in the 99th percentile.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Max Kepler ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Kepler is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Carlos Santana will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge in today's game. Trevor Larnach is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP. Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Jonah Heim is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season).
TEX vs MIN Trends
Texas Trends
The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+9.30 Units / 18% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 43% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 25 away games (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 44 games (-18.80 Units / -34% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 44 games (-15.10 Units / -26% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 48 games (-14.95 Units / -28% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 13 games (-9.00 Units / -50% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.45 Units / -57% ROI)
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.94 Units / 44% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+7.10 Units / 16% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 55% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.75 Units / 11% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 22 games (-11.05 Units / -43% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 48 games (-8.35 Units / -15% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 45 games (-8.35 Units / -14% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games (-6.50 Units / -12% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.00 Units / -42% ROI)
TEX vs MIN Top User Picks
Texas Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KingScorpio | 7-3-0 | +24325 |
| 2 | mojonaciosoy | 8-2-0 | +20585 |
| 3 | bigosports12 | 7-3-0 | +19655 |
| 4 | hennryh | 7-3-0 | +17895 |
| 5 | Whiteyr | 4-6-0 | +17780 |
| 6 | MexicanBettor | 5-5-0 | +16866 |
| 7 | cameleon53 | 6-4-0 | +16495 |
| 8 | DODBUCKSTEEL | 5-5-0 | +15755 |
| 9 | chensucht | 6-4-0 | +15755 |
| 10 | dude18555 | 6-4-0 | +15415 |
| All Rangers Money Leaders | |||
Minnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||