Baltimore @ Chicago Picks & Props

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will bat from his bad side against Erick Fedde in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Adley Rutschman today.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Ryan Mountcastle encounters a tough challenge today. Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. As it relates to plate discipline, Ryan Mountcastle's talent is quite weak, posting a 3.59 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 24th percentile.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Martin Maldonado pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Martin Maldonado will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Martin Maldonado's true offensive ability to be a .257, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .124 gap between that mark and his actual .133 wOBA.

Danny Mendick has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Danny Mendick will hold that advantage today. Danny Mendick's quickness has gotten better this year. His 25.55 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.25 ft/sec now.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson's true offensive talent to be a .359, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .043 disparity between that mark and his actual .402 wOBA.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for homers. In terms of his batting average, Jorge Mateo has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .224 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268. Jorge Mateo really hits the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rank him among the game's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.91 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is quite fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Tommy Pham will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In notching a .364 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Tommy Pham finds himself in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today's game. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Posting a 1.23 K/BB rate this year, Gavin Sheets has demonstrated strong plate discipline, placing in the 94th percentile.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde today.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Bryan Ramos will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand today. Andrew Benintendi has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Benintendi will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Andrew Benintendi's true offensive skill to be a .310, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .101 difference between that mark and his actual .209 wOBA.

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Paul DeJong ranks in the 84th percentile with a 16.9° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the game.

Ramon Urias has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Posting a .328 BABIP since the start of last season, Ramon Urias finds himself in the 87th percentile.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Dominic Fletcher will have the handedness advantage against Albert Suarez in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Dominic Fletcher will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dominic Fletcher grades out in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (23.9% rate since the start of last season).

Hitting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Nicky Lopez will have an edge in today's game. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Andrew Vaughn has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Andrew Vaughn's speed has improved this season. His 25.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.24 ft/sec now.

Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have an advantage today. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins II has been unlucky this year, putting up a .251 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .058 gap. Cedric Mullins II's 21.7° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in Major League Baseball: 99th percentile.

Jordan Westburg's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Utilizing Statcast data, Jordan Westburg is in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .286. Ranked in the 77th percentile, Jordan Westburg has one of the highest average exit velocities in the majors since the start of last season (90.2-mph). Jordan Westburg is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50.3% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for homers. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge today. Ryan O'Hearn's 91.9-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the game since the start of last season: 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Colton Cowser has put up a .349 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ranked in the 76th percentile, Anthony Santander has one of the highest average exit velocities in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (90.6-mph). In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Anthony Santander ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20.1° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the game.

Corey Julks has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.