Miami @ Arizona Picks & Props
MIA vs AZ Picks
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MIA vs AZ Consensus Picks
More Consensus
62% picking Arizona
Total PicksMIA 222, AZ 363
MIA vs AZ Props
Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gordon in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Chase Field projects as the #4 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Nick Gordon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today... and the cherry on top, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.
Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the league for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have an advantage today. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.
Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Tim Anderson is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the league for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Because of Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, Tim Anderson will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game. Tim Anderson has been unlucky this year, notching a .216 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .075 deviation.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Chase Field projects as the #4 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game... and moreover, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.
Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the league for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Weathers today. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.
Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the league for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Christian Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's matchup.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Chase Field projects as the #4 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

In the majors, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate at 23%. Bryan De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Bryan De La Cruz hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is "too high" (above 38°), which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lazy pop fly outs. His 13.8% "too-high" rate since the start of last season is in the 20th percentile.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the league for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage over Jake Burger today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Pfaadt's large platoon split.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

In the majors, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate at 23%. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) has been 109.4 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is "too high" (above 38°), which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lazy pop fly outs. His 14.5% "too-high" rate since the start of last season ranks in the 24th percentile. By putting up a .259 BABIP this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is ranked in the 24th percentile.
Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Dane Myers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the league for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage over Dane Myers today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Pfaadt's large platoon split.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the league for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Josh Bell has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114 mph (an advanced stat to measure power), ranking in the 83rd percentile.
Kevin Newman Total Hits Props • Arizona

Kevin Newman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the league for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Kevin Newman will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers today. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.
Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

In the majors, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate at 23%. Ketel Marte's quickness has declined this season. His 27.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.03 ft/sec now. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Ketel Marte and his 12.1% rank in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.
Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • Arizona

Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the league for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Randal Grichuk will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Chase Field projects as the #4 venue in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Since the start of last season, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s 13% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 88th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 95th percentile at 95.9 mph.
Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Miami

Emmanuel Rivera has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (92% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the league for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Emmanuel Rivera will hold the platoon advantage over Blake Walston in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.294) implies that Emmanuel Rivera has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .251 actual batting average.
Vidal Brujan Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the league for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
Christian Bethancourt Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the league for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Extreme flyball batters like Christian Bethancourt tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 4th-best park in the league for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Considering Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, Nick Fortes will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, compiling a .187 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .099 discrepancy.
MIA vs AZ Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.10 Units / 32% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 56% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 43% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.30 Units / 66% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 48 games (-13.00 Units / -24% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 26 games (-9.85 Units / -34% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 30 games (-8.50 Units / -25% ROI)
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.50 Units / 26% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.30 Units / 13% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games (+5.60 Units / 13% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 52 games (+4.70 Units / 7% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 43 games (-13.50 Units / -24% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 41 games (-13.45 Units / -27% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 43 games (-13.25 Units / -26% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 40 games (-10.10 Units / -22% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 49 games (-9.90 Units / -18% ROI)
MIA vs AZ Top User Picks
More PicksMiami Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
All Marlins Money Leaders |
Arizona Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
All Diamondbacks Money Leaders |