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CHC vs STL Consensus Picks
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Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .287 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has had some very poor luck given the .043 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330. Dansby Swanson's 11.1% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) is in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.
Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage over Javier Assad in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brendan Donovan has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Matt Carpenter is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Matt Carpenter will have the handedness advantage against Javier Assad in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Carpenter stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Among every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.
Mike Tauchman Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Mike Tauchman will have an advantage in today's matchup. Mike Tauchman has notched a .348 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 81st percentile. Sporting a 1.45 K/BB rate this year, Mike Tauchman has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile.
Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Christopher Morel has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .206 figure is considerably lower than his .287 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Christopher Morel's 16.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.
Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Nolan Gorman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Among every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.
Yan Gomes Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Yan Gomes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Yan Gomes has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .253 rate is deflated compared to his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Yan Gomes and his 17.7% rank in the 78th percentile since the start of last season. Yan Gomes has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key skill for batting average), grading out in the 100th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.
Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.293) implies that Seiya Suzuki has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .279 actual batting average.
Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Among every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today. Nolan Arenado has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .302 figure is a fair amount higher than his .279 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Patrick Wisdom Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Since the start of last season, Patrick Wisdom's 19.4% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers. Patrick Wisdom's 97.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Patrick Wisdom's 21.5° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the league: 95th percentile. Patrick Wisdom has posted a .338 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile.
Ivan Herrera Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Ivan Herrera's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Among every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game. Ivan Herrera's quickness has increased this season. His 26.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.45 ft/sec now.
Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Among every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Masyn Winn has posted a .301 batting average this year.
Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Among every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's game.
Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today's game. Michael Busch's 94.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) ranks in the 80th percentile since the start of last season. Michael Busch has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 22° angle is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (93rd percentile).
Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Sonny Gray in today's game. Posting a .346 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ian Happ is ranked in the 79th percentile for offensive ability.
Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. In notching a .285 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nico Hoerner has performed in the 87th percentile. When it comes to plate discipline, Nico Hoerner's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.1 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 96th percentile.
Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 16.7° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (90th percentile).
Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's game. Alec Burleson is apt to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.
CHC vs STL Trends
Chicago Trends
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.30 Units / 25% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+4.90 Units / 8% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+3.65 Units / 13% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 42 games (-13.75 Units / -30% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 41 games (-12.40 Units / -26% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 15 games (-6.90 Units / -39% ROI)
St. Louis Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.55 Units / -24% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 44 games (-10.50 Units / -20% ROI)
CHC vs STL Top User Picks
More PicksChi. Cubs Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | nbahoops | 8-1-1 | +25230 |
2 | unique11 | 7-2-1 | +19730 |
3 | fleterod | 6-3-1 | +18835 |
4 | J_T | 6-4-0 | +17030 |
5 | 2YELLOWDOGS | 5-4-1 | +16680 |
6 | HOLLANDANDITALY | 7-3-0 | +16225 |
7 | teslaxyz | 3-6-1 | +15740 |
8 | witt297 | 6-3-1 | +15460 |
9 | ggtra333 | 8-1-1 | +15325 |
10 | DoctorNo | 5-4-1 | +15070 |
All Cubs Money Leaders |
St. Louis Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | alltalc | 7-3-0 | +20715 |
2 | Jackson2399 | 7-3-0 | +17017 |
3 | deweyay9 | 5-5-0 | +16133 |
4 | steelsteve | 5-5-0 | +14620 |
5 | mrmac4224 | 6-4-0 | +13709 |
6 | Jerrybook | 9-1-0 | +13100 |
7 | cheeser | 7-3-0 | +12475 |
8 | mikers | 9-1-0 | +12375 |
9 | northlv6238 | 7-3-0 | +11580 |
10 | YAL15M | 6-4-0 | +10655 |
All Cardinals Money Leaders |