Washington @ Atlanta Picks & Props

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 14th-best batter in the game. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Matt Olson will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jarred Kelenic will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Jarred Kelenic hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jarred Kelenic will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 17th-best batter in baseball. Austin Riley is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Austin Riley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Austin Riley will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today's game.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Orlando Arcia will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.341) provides evidence that Orlando Arcia has had some very poor luck this year with his .283 actual wOBA.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Gallo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game. Out of every team today, the 16th-worst infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Joey Gallo has been unlucky this year, posting a .253 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .049 disparity. Joey Gallo's 19.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Harris II has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Michael Harris II hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Luis Garcia is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Luis Garcia will have an edge today. Out of every team today, the 16th-worst infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 9th-weakest among every team in action today. Washington's 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Ozzie Albies, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Ozzie Albies's speed has declined this season. His 27.54 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.46 ft/sec now. Ozzie Albies has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (an important skill for batting average), placing in the 2nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adam Duvall will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's game. Adam Duvall will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Adam Duvall's 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) grades out in the 85th percentile since the start of last season. Adam Duvall's 95.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Sean Murphy will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Sean Murphy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team today, the 16th-worst infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Ranking in the 83rd percentile, Jacob Young has notched a .328 BABIP since the start of last season.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Jesse Winker will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team today, the 16th-worst infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Jesse Winker's quickness has gotten better this season. His 23.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.95 ft/sec now.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team today, the 16th-worst infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

Charlie Morton will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Meneses in today's matchup. Joey Meneses will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Posting a .287 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Joey Meneses has performed in the 14th percentile for hitting ability. Joey Meneses's 5.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) grades out in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season. Joey Meneses's 90.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 20th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage today. CJ Abrams hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his better side against Charlie Morton today. Out of every team today, the 16th-worst infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky this year, putting up a .223 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .077 difference.

Eddie Rosario is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Charlie Morton in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 16th-worst infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. In terms of his batting average, Eddie Rosario has had bad variance on his side this year. His .177 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .262.