MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 3, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

TOR @

MIN Sun, May 3 • 12:45 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 5 Computer Picks

Moneyline

MIN (-110)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: 10 hours ago

-110

-112

-110

Although Trey Yesavage looked solid in his 2026 debut, Joe Ryan has had the Blue Jays' number over the years, limiting Toronto hitters to a .708 lifetime OPS. Expect the Twins to take the series finale at home.

Total Bases

Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+155)

Projection 1.53

Best Odds

o1.5 +160

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +153

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +160

As it relates to his home run talent, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

+160 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 6 Picks

BAL @

NYY Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+190)

Projection 1.56

Best Odds

o1.5 +190

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +166

o1.5 +190

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +175

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

+190 at bet365

Total Bases

Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+265)

Projection 1.28

Best Odds

o1.5 +265

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +265

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +200

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Coby Mayo are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried.

+265 at bet365

View 10 Picks

CIN @

PIT Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.58

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as Major League Baseball's 11th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.3-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Chase Burns today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage in today's game.

+150 at bet365

Total Bases

Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+132)

Projection 1.67

Best Odds

o1.5 +132

Pick made: 34 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +124

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart as the 20th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.3-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Among every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

+132 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

SF @

TB Sun, May 3 • 1:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+170)

Projection 1.48

Best Odds

o1.5 +177

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +177

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +170

Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle in today's matchup.. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

+177 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.74

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +123

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +125

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Matt Chapman will have the handedness advantage over Steven Matz today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams in action today.

+135 at bet365

View 10 Picks

PHI @

MIA Sun, May 3 • 1:40 PM ET

7 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+150)

Projection 0.73

Best Odds

u0.5 +150

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +133

u0.5 +150

u0.5 +136

u0.5 +145

Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.. Kyle Stowers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

+150 at bet365

Total Bases

Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.82

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 38 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +107

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +107

o1.5 +120

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber has strong power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Chris Paddack has a pitch-to-contact profile (19th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 7 Picks

LAD @

STL Sun, May 3 • 2:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+200)

Projection 1.6

Best Odds

o1.5 +200

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +153

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +145

When estimating his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.9-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. JJ Wetherholt will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

+200 at bet365

Total Bases

Pedro Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+206)

Projection 1.43

Best Odds

o1.5 +206

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +206

o1.5 +180

Pedro Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.9-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Pedro Pages will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today.

+206 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

AZ @

CHC Sun, May 3 • 2:20 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Ketel Marte o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-190)

Projection 2.9

Best Odds

o1.5 -190

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -190

o1.5 -263

o1.5 -200

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Matthew Boyd.. Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

-190 at bet365

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Nolan Arenado o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)

Projection 2.09

Best Odds

o1.5 -110

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -110

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Nolan Arenado will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game.. Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

-110 at bet365

View 5 Picks

ATL @

COL Sun, May 3 • 3:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Jorge Mateo u0.5 Total Hits (+160)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

u0.5 +160

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +142

u0.5 +160

u0.5 +145

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Mateo ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jorge Mateo is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Jorge Mateo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

+160 at bet365

Total Bases

Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+105)

Projection 2.03

Best Odds

o1.5 +105

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -103

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -102

o1.5 +105

When it comes to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Mickey Moniak will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's game.. Mickey Moniak will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

+105 at bet365

View 10 Picks

CLE @

ATH Sun, May 3 • 4:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Brent Rooker o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.87

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +124

o1.5 +135

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brent Rooker ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Brent Rooker will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Brent Rooker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+145)

Projection 1.66

Best Odds

o1.5 +153

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +153

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +145

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge today.. Kyle Manzardo may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Athletics only has 1 same-handed RP.

+153 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

NYM @

LAA Sun, May 3 • 4:07 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Total Hits

MJ Melendez u0.5 Total Hits (+155)

Projection 0.81

Best Odds

u0.5 +155

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +110

u0.5 +155

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 7th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for MJ Melendez in today's matchup.

+155 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View Pick

KC @

SEA Sun, May 3 • 4:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick

Moneyline

SEA (-120)

Best Odds

-120

Pick made: 7 hours ago

-126

-125

-120

-125

Luis Castillo has been a shell of his former self, but the Mariners right-hander should bounce back against a putrid Royals offense that is hitting just .205 off of him. Side with Seattle on Sunday afternoon.

View Pick

CHW @

SD Sun, May 3 • 4:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+190)

Projection 1.62

Best Odds

o1.5 +190

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +139

o1.5 +190

o1.5 +140

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the league's 2nd-best home run batter.. Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Munetaka Murakami will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Vasquez in today's game.. Munetaka Murakami has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (36.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez has a pitch-to-contact profile (1st percentile K%) — great news for Murakami.. Munetaka Murakami hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

+190 at bet365

Total Bases

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.77

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +116

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +110

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 12th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Given Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

+125 at bet365

View 10 Picks

$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

DET Sun, May 3 • 7:20 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1550)

Projection 0.08

Best Odds

o0.5 +1550

Pick made: 38 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +1040

o0.5 +1550

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Riley Greene o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-102)

Projection 2.17

Best Odds

o1.5 -102

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -102

o1.5 -130

When estimating his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

-102 at DraftKings

View 2 Picks

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