SDPA, Bally Sports Network

Miami @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego

H. Kim
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Ha-seong Kim will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today. Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Ha-seong Kim will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ha-seong Kim will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today. Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Ha-seong Kim will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge today. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge today. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage today.

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage today.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Arraez
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 6th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today. Hitting from the same side that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Luis Arraez will be in a tough position in today's matchup.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 6th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today. Hitting from the same side that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Luis Arraez will be in a tough position in today's matchup.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

B. De La Cruz
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Bryan De La Cruz's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryan De La Cruz's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Campusano
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Luis Campusano will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game. Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Luis Campusano will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Luis Campusano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Luis Campusano will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game. Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Luis Campusano will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami

T. Anderson
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP talent, Tim Anderson is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tim Anderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his BABIP talent, Tim Anderson is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Chisholm Jr.
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand today. Since the start of last season, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s 13% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 88th percentile among his peers.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand today. Since the start of last season, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s 13% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 88th percentile among his peers.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Sanchez
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jesus Sanchez's true offensive talent to be a .315, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .046 deviation between that mark and his actual .269 wOBA. Using Statcast data, Jesus Sanchez is in the 77th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .343.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jesus Sanchez's true offensive talent to be a .315, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .046 deviation between that mark and his actual .269 wOBA. Using Statcast data, Jesus Sanchez is in the 77th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .343.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Bell
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Burger
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • San Diego

D. Solano
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Donovan Solano will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. Donovan Solano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Donovan Solano will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Donovan Solano will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. Donovan Solano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Donovan Solano will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Profar
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami

N. Gordon
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gordon in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nick Gordon will have the handedness advantage against Matt Waldron in today's matchup. Nick Gordon hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Nick Gordon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gordon in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nick Gordon will have the handedness advantage against Matt Waldron in today's matchup. Nick Gordon hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Jose Azocar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Azocar
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Jose Azocar will have an advantage in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Azocar will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jose Azocar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Jose Azocar will have an advantage in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Azocar will hold that advantage in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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